气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Energy system transformation to meet NDC; 2 °C; and well below 2 °C targets for India

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10584-019-02616-1
	Energy system transformation to meet NDC; 2 °C; and well below 2 °C targets for India
	Vishwanathan S.S.; Garg A.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	1877
结束页码	1891
卷号	162 期号:4
英文摘要	India’s commitment to Paris Climate Change Agreement through its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) will require the energy system to gradually move away from fossil fuels. The current energy system is witnessing a transformation to achieve these through renewable energy targets and enhanced energy efficiency (EE) actions in all sectors. More stringent global GHG mitigation targets of 2 °C and well below 2 °C regimes would impose further challenges and uncertainties for the Indian energy systems. This paper provides a quantitative assessment using bottom-up optimization model (AIM/Enduse) to assess these until 2050 for meeting carbon mitigation commitments while achieving the national sustainable development goals. Energy transformation trajectories under five scenarios synchronized with climate mitigation regimes are explored—Business As Usual scenario (BAU), NDC scenario, 2 °C scenarios (early and late actions), and well below 2 °C scenario. The key results from the study include (a) coal-based power plants older than 30 years under NDC and older than 20 years for deeper CO2 mitigation will be stranded before their lifetime, (b) increase in renewables of up to 225–280 GW by 2050 will require battery storage with improved integrated smart grid infrastructure, (c) growth in nuclear to 27–32 GW by 2050 is dependent on nuclear supply availability, (d) gradual shift towards electrification in industry, building, and transport sectors, and (e) installation of CCS technologies in power and industry sectors. Cumulative investments of up to 6–8 trillion USD (approximately) will be required during 2015–2030 to implement the actions required to transform the current energy systems in India. © 2020, The Author(s).
英文关键词	Decarbonization; Energy system transformation; Investments; NDC; Technology transition; Well below 2 °C
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate change; Coal storage; Decarbonization; Electric power transmission networks; Energy efficiency; Fossil fuels; Greenhouse gases; Investments; Power plants; Smart power grids; Climate Change Agreements; Climate mitigations; Coal based power plants; Energy system transformation; Energy transformation; Optimization modeling; Quantitative assessments; Technology transition; Coal industry; air temperature; alternative energy; electrification; energy efficiency; energy planning; fossil fuel; nuclear power; optimization; Sustainable Development Goal; India
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147058
作者单位	Indian Institute of Management-Ahmedabad, Public Systems Group, Ahmedabad, 380015, India; Center for Social and Environmental Systems Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba, Japan
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Vishwanathan S.S.,Garg A.. Energy system transformation to meet NDC; 2 °C; and well below 2 °C targets for India[J],2020,162(4).
APA	Vishwanathan S.S.,&Garg A..(2020).Energy system transformation to meet NDC; 2 °C; and well below 2 °C targets for India.Climatic Change,162(4).
MLA	Vishwanathan S.S.,et al."Energy system transformation to meet NDC; 2 °C; and well below 2 °C targets for India".Climatic Change 162.4(2020).