气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Socio-technical scenarios for energy-intensive industries: the future of steel production in Germany

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10584-019-02366-0
	Socio-technical scenarios for energy-intensive industries: the future of steel production in Germany
	Vögele S.; Rübbelke D.; Govorukha K.; Grajewski M.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	1763
结束页码	1778
卷号	162 期号:4
英文摘要	Relocating energy-intensive industries to another country may help to meet national greenhouse gas reduction targets. However, this can lead to rising global emissions if production in the country that receives the shifted industries is associated with higher specific emissions (“carbon leakage”). The relocation of industries and thus the possible emergence of carbon leakage depends largely on cost advantages in the country of destination and the level of transport costs. In this study, we consider the example of relocations in the iron and steel industries of China and Germany in order to ascertain effects on CO2-emissions. We develop different scenarios for 2030 using a multilevel cross-impact-balance (CIB) approach and analyse these scenarios in a technology-based cost model. Since all scenarios show high specific cost for reducing global CO2-emissions by preferring crude steel produced in Germany to steel from China, we conclude that avoiding carbon leakage is not necessarily a cost-efficient measure for reducing global CO2-emissions. © 2019, Springer Nature B.V.
英文关键词	Carbon leakage; Cross-impact balance; GHG reduction; Iron and steel industry
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Carbon; Carbon dioxide; Greenhouse gases; Relocation; Steelmaking; Carbon leakage; Energy intensive industries; GHG reductions; Global emissions; Greenhouse gas reductions; Socio-technical scenarios; Steel production; Technology-based; Iron and steel industry; carbon dioxide; carbon emission; cost-benefit analysis; greenhouse gas; iron and steel industry; numerical model; China; Germany
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147056
作者单位	Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, Institute of Energy and Climate Research - Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (IEK-STE), Jülich, 52425, Germany; TU Bergakademie Freiberg, Schloßplatz 1, Freiberg, 09599, Germany; FH Aachen, Heinrich-Mußmann Straße 1, Jülich, 52428, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Vögele S.,Rübbelke D.,Govorukha K.,et al. Socio-technical scenarios for energy-intensive industries: the future of steel production in Germany[J],2020,162(4).
APA	Vögele S.,Rübbelke D.,Govorukha K.,&Grajewski M..(2020).Socio-technical scenarios for energy-intensive industries: the future of steel production in Germany.Climatic Change,162(4).
MLA	Vögele S.,et al."Socio-technical scenarios for energy-intensive industries: the future of steel production in Germany".Climatic Change 162.4(2020).