气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Do people accurately report droughts? Comparison of instrument-measured and national survey data in Kenya

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10584-020-02724-3
	Do people accurately report droughts? Comparison of instrument-measured and national survey data in Kenya
	Linke A.M.; Witmer F.D.W.; O’Loughlin J.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	1143
结束页码	1160
卷号	162 期号:3
英文摘要	We evaluate the agreement between drought perceptions of two nationally representative samples of Kenyans (2014 and 2018) and instrument-measured rainfall and vegetation (IMRV) change. Our work adds to a growing body of research designed to evaluate people’s awareness and understanding of climate change and global warming. Relatively few existing studies in the developing world validate weather perceptions against meteorological observations, despite heavy reliance among these populations on rainfed agriculture and the importance of effective adaptation strategies for household livelihoods. We find a strong positive relationship between IMRV data and reporting among the 175 survey enumeration areas for 2800 respondents. Ours is the first study to establish such a definitive result using a research design that minimizes the effects of anomalous weather in any single year. Researchers who rely upon reported historical weather conditions can thus be more assured that their fieldwork informants recollect weather accurately. This awareness of recent changes in weather should facilitate the implementation of policies designed to mitigate long-term climate change impacts in sub-Saharan Africa. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
英文关键词	Droughts; Kenya; Perceptions; Survey data; Weather variability
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Agricultural robots; Developing countries; Drought; Global warming; Adaptation strategies; Climate change impact; Developing world; Meteorological observation; National surveys; Rain fed agriculture; Representative sample; Sub-saharan africa; Surveys; adaptive management; agricultural production; climate effect; comparative study; developing world; drought stress; national strategy; perception; rainfed agriculture; vegetation cover; weather forecasting; Kenya
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147039
作者单位	Department of Geography, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States; Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO), Oslo, Norway; Department of Computer Science & Engineering, University of Alaska Anchorage, Anchorage, AK, United States; Institute of Behavioral Science, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Linke A.M.,Witmer F.D.W.,O’Loughlin J.. Do people accurately report droughts? Comparison of instrument-measured and national survey data in Kenya[J],2020,162(3).
APA	Linke A.M.,Witmer F.D.W.,&O’Loughlin J..(2020).Do people accurately report droughts? Comparison of instrument-measured and national survey data in Kenya.Climatic Change,162(3).
MLA	Linke A.M.,et al."Do people accurately report droughts? Comparison of instrument-measured and national survey data in Kenya".Climatic Change 162.3(2020).