气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The low carbon development options for Russia

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10584-020-02780-9
	The low carbon development options for Russia
	Safonov G.; Potashnikov V.; Lugovoy O.; Safonov M.; Dorina A.; Bolotov A.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	1929
结束页码	1945
卷号	162 期号:4
英文摘要	Russia is one of the largest carbon emitters in the world, possessing huge resources of both fossil fuels and zero-carbon energy sources. The Paris Agreement targets require substantial efforts to limit global warming to “well below 2 °C”. Energy-economic modeling provides sound conclusions that continuation of existing energy and climate policy will lead to stabilization of energy carbon emissions in Russia at the current level in 2010–2050 (about 30% below 1990). Stronger mitigation policies could gradually reduce domestic energy CO2 emissions by 61% from 2010 to 2050 (75% below 1990). Deep decarbonization policies with even more ambitious commitments could ensure an 83% reduction in energy CO2 emissions from 2010 levels (88% below 1990) by 2050. All key sectors (energy, industries, transport, and buildings) can play a substantial role in decarbonizing the national economy. However Russia’s historical reliance on domestic consumption and exports of fossil fuels creates strong barriers to decarbonization. Emission reduction costs are expected to be below 29 USD/tCO2 by 2030, 55 USD/tCO2 by 2040, and 82 USD/tCO2 by 2050 in the most ambitious decarbonization scenario. The results of this study provide insights into how Russia can enhance its ambitions to implement the Paris Agreement and contribute to global efforts toward building a climate-neutral economy by 2050. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
英文关键词	Carbon emissions; Climate change; Decarbonization; Low carbon development; Paris Agreement; Russia
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Carbon; Carbon dioxide; Decarbonization; Emission control; Global warming; Carbon emissions; Domestic consumption; Emission reduction; Energy-economic model; Existing energies; Low-carbon development; Mitigation policies; National economy; Fossil fuels; carbon emission; cost analysis; emission control; environmental policy; fossil fuel; global warming; international agreement; mitigation; national economy; pollution policy; Russian Federation
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147029
作者单位	National Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE), Moscow, Russian Federation; Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Moscow, Russian Federation; University of California, Irvine (UCI), Irvine, CA, United States; Russian State Agrarian University (RSAU), Moscow, Russian Federation
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Safonov G.,Potashnikov V.,Lugovoy O.,et al. The low carbon development options for Russia[J],2020,162(4).
APA	Safonov G.,Potashnikov V.,Lugovoy O.,Safonov M.,Dorina A.,&Bolotov A..(2020).The low carbon development options for Russia.Climatic Change,162(4).
MLA	Safonov G.,et al."The low carbon development options for Russia".Climatic Change 162.4(2020).