气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Comparing transformation pathways across major economies

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DOI	10.1007/s10584-020-02837-9
	Comparing transformation pathways across major economies
	Schaeffer R.; Köberle A.; van Soest H.L.; Bertram C.; Luderer G.; Riahi K.; Krey V.; van Vuuren D.P.; Kriegler E.; Fujimori S.; Chen W.; He C.; Vrontisi Z.; Vishwanathan S.; Garg A.; Mathur R.; Shekhar S.; Oshiro K.; Ueckerdt F.; Safonov G.; Iyer G.; Gi K.; Potashnikov V.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	1787
结束页码	1803
卷号	162 期号:4
英文摘要	This paper explores the consequences of different policy assumptions and the derivation of globally consistent, national low-carbon development pathways for the seven largest greenhouse gas (GHG)–emitting countries (EU28 as a bloc) in the world, covering approximately 70% of global CO2 emissions, in line with their contributions to limiting global average temperature increase to well below 2 °C as compared with pre-industrial levels. We introduce the methodology for developing these pathways by initially discussing the process by which global integrated assessment model (IAM) teams interacted and derived boundary conditions in the form of carbon budgets for the different countries. Carbon budgets so derived for the 2011–2050 period were then used in eleven different national energy-economy models and IAMs for producing low-carbon pathways for the seven countries in line with a well below 2 °C world up to 2050. We present a comparative assessment of the resulting pathways and of the challenges and opportunities associated with them. Our results indicate quite different mitigation pathways for the different countries, shown by the way emission reductions are split between different sectors of their economies and technological alternatives. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
英文关键词	Carbon budgets; Climate change mitigation; Integrated assessment models; National energy-economy models; National transformation pathways; Paris agreement
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Budget control; Emission control; Gas emissions; Greenhouse gases; Comparative assessment; Energy-economy models; Global integrated assessments; Greenhouse gas (GHG); Low-carbon development; Pre-industrial levels; Technological alternatives; Transformation pathways; Carbon; assessment method; boundary condition; carbon budget; carbon emission; European Union; greenhouse gas; integrated approach
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147017
作者单位	Centre for Energy and Enviromental Economics, Energy Planning Program, CENERGIA/PPE/COPPE/UFRJ, Centro de Tecnologia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (COPPE/UFRJ), Bloco C, Sala C-211, Cidade Universitária, Ilha do Fundão, Rio de Janeiro, RJ 21941-914, Brazil; Grantham Institute, Imperial College London (ICL), London, United Kingdom; PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Hague, Netherlands; Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria; Kyoto University (KyotoU), Kyoto, Japan; National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba, Japan; Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University (TU), Beijing, China; Energy Research Institute (ERI), Beijing, China; School of Electrical and Computer Engineering, E3MLab, National Technical University of Athens, Athens, Greece; Indian Institute of Management-...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Schaeffer R.,Köberle A.,van Soest H.L.,et al. Comparing transformation pathways across major economies[J],2020,162(4).
APA	Schaeffer R..,Köberle A..,van Soest H.L..,Bertram C..,Luderer G..,...&Potashnikov V..(2020).Comparing transformation pathways across major economies.Climatic Change,162(4).
MLA	Schaeffer R.,et al."Comparing transformation pathways across major economies".Climatic Change 162.4(2020).