气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Risk and experience drive the importance of natural hazards for peoples’ mobility decisions

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10584-020-02846-8
	Risk and experience drive the importance of natural hazards for peoples’ mobility decisions
	Zander K.K.; Garnett S.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	1639
结束页码	1654
卷号	162 期号:3
英文摘要	Since global warming between 2 and 4.9 °C by 2100 is unlikely to be avoided, humans will have to live with and adapt to the impacts of climate change. Migration has long been touted as a strategy for adapting to climate change, but there is limited understanding of which aspects of climate change will have greatest influence on peoples’ decision to move somewhere they consider safer or stay somewhere safe. Here, we present results from two online surveys about mobility decisions from one low (Philippines) and one high (Australia) income country within the Asia-Pacific region with similar vulnerabilities to natural hazards. Online surveys with about 1100 respondents each were conducted in both countries. Results showed that natural hazards played a strong role in the mix of reasons for mobility, particularly in the Philippines. Sudden onset hazards had the greatest influence. Results of ordered probit models showed that the perception of personal damage from hazards was strongly positively associated with mobility decisions of respondents in both countries. Mobility decisions of people in Australia were further influenced by their experience with the specific hazards: those with greater experience of slow onset hazards were more likely, and those who had experience with sudden hazards less likely, to consider these when moving or staying somewhere. People in Australia might only react to sudden onset hazards with temporary relocation since experience had shown that they can adapt to them. This suggests that slow onset climate change related impacts such as heat waves and sea level rise, as well as environmental degradation and pollution, may have more sustained effects on long-term mobility than sudden events. In the Philippines, personal characteristics such as gender, income, and health had the greatest impact while experience with hazards had almost none. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
英文关键词	Australia; Climate change adaptation; Environmental migration; Online survey; Philippines
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Global warming; Sea level; Surveys; Asia Pacific region; Natural hazard; Online surveys; Ordered probit model; Personal characteristics; Philippines; Sea level rise; Sudden events; Health hazards; adaptive management; climate change; climate effect; decision analysis; global warming; natural hazard; risk assessment; social mobility; strategic approach; vulnerability; Australia; Pacific Ocean; Pacific Rim; Philippines
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147008
作者单位	Northern Institute, Charles Darwin University, Darwin, NT, Australia; German Development Institute, Bonn, Germany; Research Institute for the Environment and Livelihood, Charles Darwin University, Darwin, NT, Australia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zander K.K.,Garnett S.. Risk and experience drive the importance of natural hazards for peoples’ mobility decisions[J],2020,162(3).
APA	Zander K.K.,&Garnett S..(2020).Risk and experience drive the importance of natural hazards for peoples’ mobility decisions.Climatic Change,162(3).
MLA	Zander K.K.,et al."Risk and experience drive the importance of natural hazards for peoples’ mobility decisions".Climatic Change 162.3(2020).