气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Brazil’s emission trajectories in a well-below 2 °C world: the role of disruptive technologies versus land-based mitigation in an already low-emission energy system

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10584-020-02856-6
	Brazil’s emission trajectories in a well-below 2 °C world: the role of disruptive technologies versus land-based mitigation in an already low-emission energy system
	Köberle A.C.; Rochedo P.R.R.; Lucena A.F.P.; Szklo A.; Schaeffer R.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	1823
结束页码	1842
卷号	162 期号:4
英文摘要	The Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) to the Paris Agreement (PA) submitted so far do not put the world on track to meet the targets of the Agreement and by 2020 countries should ratchet up ambition in the new round of NDCs. Brazil’s NDC to the PA received mixed reviews and has been rated as “medium” ambition. We use the Brazil Land Use and Energy System (BLUES) model to explore low-emission scenarios for Brazil for the 2010–2050 period that cost-effectively raise ambition to levels consistent with PA targets. Our results reinforce the fundamental role of the agriculture, forest, and land use (AFOLU) sectors and explore inter-sectoral linkages to power generation and transportation. We identify transportation as a prime candidate for decarbonization, leveraging Brazil’s already low-carbon electricity production and its high bioenergy production. Results indicate the most important mitigation measures are electrification of the light-duty vehicle (LDV) fleet for passenger transportation, biodiesel and biokerosene production via Fischer-Tropsch synthesis from lignocellulosic feedstock, and intensification of agricultural production. The use of carbon capture and storage (CCS) as well as netzero deforestation make significant contributions. We identify opportunities for Brazil, but synergies and trade-offs across sectors should be minded when designing climate policies. © 2020, The Author(s).
英文关键词	Bioenergy and biofuels; Brazil emissions; Climate mitigation; Integrated assessment model; Low-carbon transition; Mitigation scenarios
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Agricultural robots; Deforestation; Economic and social effects; Fischer-Tropsch synthesis; Fleet operations; Land use; Light weight vehicles; Synthetic fuels; Agricultural productions; Bioenergy productions; Carbon capture and storages (CCS); Disruptive technology; Lignocellulosic feedstocks; Low emission scenarios; Low-carbon electricities; Passenger transportation; Carbon capture; agricultural intensification; agricultural production; biofuel; carbon sequestration; cellulose; cost analysis; deforestation; electrification; environmental policy; international agreement; power generation; Brazil
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/146992
作者单位	Centre for Energy and Environmental Economics-CENERGIA, Energy Planning Program, Graduate School of Engineering, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Centro de Tecnologia, Bloco C, Sala 211 Cidade Universitária, Ilha do Fundão, Rio de Janeiro, RJ 21941-972, Brazil; Grantham Institute, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Köberle A.C.,Rochedo P.R.R.,Lucena A.F.P.,等. Brazil’s emission trajectories in a well-below 2 °C world: the role of disruptive technologies versus land-based mitigation in an already low-emission energy system[J],2020,162(4).
APA	Köberle A.C.,Rochedo P.R.R.,Lucena A.F.P.,Szklo A.,&Schaeffer R..(2020).Brazil’s emission trajectories in a well-below 2 °C world: the role of disruptive technologies versus land-based mitigation in an already low-emission energy system.Climatic Change,162(4).
MLA	Köberle A.C.,et al."Brazil’s emission trajectories in a well-below 2 °C world: the role of disruptive technologies versus land-based mitigation in an already low-emission energy system".Climatic Change 162.4(2020).