气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): A simple grid-based framework for simulating forest structural trajectories linked to transient forest management scenarios in Fennoscandia

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10584-020-02742-1
	A simple grid-based framework for simulating forest structural trajectories linked to transient forest management scenarios in Fennoscandia
	Majasalmi T.; Allen M.; Antón-Fernández C.; Astrup R.; Bright R.M.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	2139
结束页码	2155
卷号	162 期号:4
英文摘要	Forest structural properties largely govern surface fluxes of moisture, energy, and momentum that strongly affect regional climate and hydrology. Forest structural properties are greatly shaped by forest management activities, especially in the Fennoscandia (Norway, Sweden, and Finland). Insight into transient developments in forest structure in response to management intervention is therefore essential to understanding the role of forest management in mitigating regional climate change. The aim of this study is to present a simple grid-based framework – the Fennoscandic Forest State Simulator (F2S2) -- for predicting time-dependent forest structural trajectories in a manner compatible with land models employed in offline or asynchronously coupled climate and hydrological research. F2S2 enables the prescription of future regional forest structure as a function of: i) exogenously defined scenarios of forest harvest intensity; ii) forest management intensity; iii) climate forcing. We demonstrate its application when applied as a stand-alone tool for forecasting three alternative future forest states in Norway that differ with respect to background climate forcing, forest harvest intensity (linked to two Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs)), and forest management intensity. F2S2 captures impacts of climate forcing and forest management on general trends in forest structural development over time, and while climate is the main driver of longer-term forest structural dynamics, the role of harvests and other management-driven effects cannot be overlooked. To our knowledge this is the first paper presenting a method to map forest structure in space and time in a way that is compatible with land surface or hydrological models employing sub-grid tiling. © 2020, The Author(s).
英文关键词	Climate change; Climate modeling; Forest dynamics; Forest management; Hydrological modeling; Land management
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate change; Climate models; Harvesting; Hydrology; Structural dynamics; Structural properties; Surface measurement; Hydrological models; Management activities; Management interventions; Management scenarios; Regional climate; Regional climate changes; Stand alone tools; Structural development; Forestry; climate forcing; energy budget; forest management; forestry practice; forestry production; hydrological regime; knowledge; land surface; regional climate; timber harvesting; Fennoscandia; Finland; Norway; Sweden
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/146985
作者单位	Norwegian Institute of Bioeconomy Research (NIBIO), Box 115, Ås, 1431, Norway; Aalto University, School of Engineering, Department of Built Environment, Box 14100, Espoo, 00076, Finland
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Majasalmi T.,Allen M.,Antón-Fernández C.,et al. A simple grid-based framework for simulating forest structural trajectories linked to transient forest management scenarios in Fennoscandia[J],2020,162(4).
APA	Majasalmi T.,Allen M.,Antón-Fernández C.,Astrup R.,&Bright R.M..(2020).A simple grid-based framework for simulating forest structural trajectories linked to transient forest management scenarios in Fennoscandia.Climatic Change,162(4).
MLA	Majasalmi T.,et al."A simple grid-based framework for simulating forest structural trajectories linked to transient forest management scenarios in Fennoscandia".Climatic Change 162.4(2020).