气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Volcanic mega-eruptions may trigger major cholera outbreaks

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DOI	10.3354/CR01587
	Volcanic mega-eruptions may trigger major cholera outbreaks
	Pinke Z.; Pow S.; Kern Z.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	0936-577X
起始页码	151
结束页码	162
卷号	79 期号:2
英文摘要	Reviewing the results of environmental epidemiology, post-volcanic climatology, and environmental history, we focused exclusively on volcanic eruption-ENSO and ENSO-cholera connections in order to establish a hypothesis that large tropical and Northern Hemisphere volcanic eruptions trigger an environmentally driven cascade process via post-volcanic ENSO anomalies. This cascade process has tended historically to lead to cholera outbreaks in Bengal (i.e. the Ganges-Brahmaputra delta region of modern India and Bangladesh). To test our hypothesis, we set up a dataset from strong tropical and Northern Hemisphere volcanic events that forced the ENSO system, ENSO indices, and historical data for cholera outbreaks. Eight volcanic eruptions (≥3.3 W m−2) were accompanied within 2 yr by El Niño events over the past 500 yr. For the 19th−20th century period, all selected volcanic eruptions were accompanied by major cholera outbreaks in Bengal during the examined post-volcanic years. For the past 500 yr, the likelihood of the occurrence of major post-volcanic cholera outbreaks was 75%. © Inter-Research 2019.
英文关键词	Bengal; El Niño; ENSO; Environmental cascade; Pinatubo; Samalas; Tambora
语种	英语
scopus关键词	El Nino; El Nino-Southern Oscillation; Northern Hemisphere; volcanic eruption; Bangladesh; Bengal; Central Luzon; Honshu; Hyogo; Japan; Kinki; Luzon; Mount Pinatubo; Philippines; Tamba; Zambales
来源期刊	Climate Research
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/146911
作者单位	Eötvös Lórand University, Department of Physical Geography, Pázmány Péter sétány 1/C, Budapest, 1118, Hungary; Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, Flakkebjerg Research Centre, Forsøgsvej 1, Slagelse, 4200, Denmark; Central European University, Department of Medieval Studies, Nádor u. 9, Budapest, 1051, Hungary; Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Research Centre for Astronomy and Earth Sciences, Institute for Geological and Geochemical Research, Budaörsi út 45, Budapest, 1112, Hungary
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Pinke Z.,Pow S.,Kern Z.. Volcanic mega-eruptions may trigger major cholera outbreaks[J],2019,79(2).
APA	Pinke Z.,Pow S.,&Kern Z..(2019).Volcanic mega-eruptions may trigger major cholera outbreaks.Climate Research,79(2).
MLA	Pinke Z.,et al."Volcanic mega-eruptions may trigger major cholera outbreaks".Climate Research 79.2(2019).