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DOI | 10.3354/CR01594 |
Drivers of planting area and yield shifts for three staple crops across China; 1950-2013 | |
Luo Y.; Zhang Z.; Cao J.; Chen Y.; Zhang L. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 0936-577X |
起始页码 | 73 |
结束页码 | 84 |
卷号 | 80期号:2 |
英文摘要 | Although the planting areas and yields of 3 staple crops (rice, maize and wheat) in China have undergone dramatic spatial and temporal changes, their geographical dynamics are still unknown. A centroid method was introduced to quantitatively characterize the geographical dynamics of the crop planting area (CPA) and crop yield (CY) for the 3 staple crops from 1950 to 2013 in China. The results showed that the national centroid for rice CPA moved 389.5 km to the northeast during 1950-2013. It moved 430.0, 292.9, and 363.5 km to the northeast for rice CY, maize CPA and maize CY, respectively. However, the centroid for wheat CPA and CY moved randomly. Further panel analyses showed that increasing temperature played a significant and consistently positive role in the shifts of CPA and CY for rice and maize. Precipitation also played a significant positive role, but had a less spatially consistent impact. However, temperature had a significant negative impact on the shifts of CPA and CY for wheat. Socio-economic factors dominated the shifts of the CPA and CY centroids, including agricultural gross domestic product, the power of agricultural machines, and effective irrigated areas. Our study highlights that the shifts of both CY and CPA should be considered in investigating the impacts of climate change and socio-economic development on crop production and the related adaptation measures. © 2020 Inter-Research. |
英文关键词 | Climate change; Crop production; Cropland; Land use change; Socio-economic development |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | adaptive management; agricultural land; climate change; crop plant; crop production; crop yield; maize; precipitation (climatology); rice; spatiotemporal analysis; yield response; China; Triticum aestivum; Zea mays |
来源期刊 | Climate Research |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/146897 |
作者单位 | State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, MOE Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Hazards, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China; Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Luo Y.,Zhang Z.,Cao J.,et al. Drivers of planting area and yield shifts for three staple crops across China; 1950-2013[J],2020,80(2). |
APA | Luo Y.,Zhang Z.,Cao J.,Chen Y.,&Zhang L..(2020).Drivers of planting area and yield shifts for three staple crops across China; 1950-2013.Climate Research,80(2). |
MLA | Luo Y.,et al."Drivers of planting area and yield shifts for three staple crops across China; 1950-2013".Climate Research 80.2(2020). |
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