气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Floridian heatwaves and extreme precipitation: future climate projections

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DOI	10.1007/s00382-018-4148-9
	Floridian heatwaves and extreme precipitation: future climate projections
	Raghavendra A.; Dai A.; Milrad S.M.; Cloutier-Bisbee S.R.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	0930-7575
起始页码	495
结束页码	508
卷号	52 期号:2020-01-02
英文摘要	Observational analysis and climate modeling efforts concur that the frequency, intensity, and duration of heatwaves will increase as the Earth’s mean climate shifts towards warmer temperatures. While the impacts and mechanisms of heatwaves have been well explored, extreme temperatures over Florida are generally understudied. This paper sheds light on Floridian heatwaves by exploring 13 years of daily data from surface observations and high-resolution WRF climate simulations for the same timeframe. The characteristics of the current and future heatwaves under the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario for 2070–2099 were then investigated. Results show a tripling in the frequency, and greater than a sixfold increase in the mean duration of heatwaves over Florida when the current standard of heatwaves was used. The intensity of heatwaves also increased by 4–6 °C due to the combined effects of rising mean temperatures and a 1–2 °C increase attributed to the flattening of the temperature distribution. Since Florida’s atmospheric boundary layer is rich in moisture and heatwaves could further increase the moisture content in the lower troposphere, the relationship between heatwaves and extreme precipitation was also explored in both the current and future climate. As expected, rainfall during a heatwave event was anomalously low, but it quickly recovered to normal within 3 days after the passage of a heatwave. Finally, the late 21st-century climate could witness a slight decrease in the mean precipitation over Florida, accompanied by heavier heatwave-associated extreme precipitation events over central and southern Florida. © 2018, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.
英文关键词	Climate projection; Extreme precipitation; Florida; Heatwaves; WRF model
语种	英语
scopus关键词	boundary layer; climate modeling; computer simulation; future prospect; heat wave; moisture content; precipitation (climatology); rainfall; troposphere; twenty first century; weather forecasting; Florida [United States]; United States
来源期刊	Climate Dynamics
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/146637
作者单位	Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY 12222, United States; National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Boulder, CO, United States; Meteorology Program, Applied Aviation Sciences Department, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Raghavendra A.,Dai A.,Milrad S.M.,et al. Floridian heatwaves and extreme precipitation: future climate projections[J],2019,52(2020-01-02).
APA	Raghavendra A.,Dai A.,Milrad S.M.,&Cloutier-Bisbee S.R..(2019).Floridian heatwaves and extreme precipitation: future climate projections.Climate Dynamics,52(2020-01-02).
MLA	Raghavendra A.,et al."Floridian heatwaves and extreme precipitation: future climate projections".Climate Dynamics 52.2020-01-02(2019).