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DOI10.1007/s00382-018-4337-6
High resolution climate precipitation analysis for north-central Italy; 1961–2015
Pavan V.; Antolini G.; Barbiero R.; Berni N.; Brunier F.; Cacciamani C.; Cagnati A.; Cazzuli O.; Cicogna A.; De Luigi C.; Di Carlo E.; Francioni M.; Maraldo L.; Marigo G.; Micheletti S.; Onorato L.; Panettieri E.; Pellegrini U.; Pelosini R.; Piccinini D.; Ratto S.; Ronchi C.; Rusca L.; Sofia S.; Stelluti M.; Tomozeiu R.; Torrigiani Malaspina T.
发表日期2019
ISSN0930-7575
起始页码3435
结束页码3453
卷号52期号:2020-05-06
英文摘要Observational daily precipitation data from a group of 1762 stations over north-central Italy and adjacent areas are used to produce a high resolution daily gridded precipitation analysis covering the period from 1961 to 2015. Input data are checked for quality, time consistency, synchronicity and statistical homogeneity and the final result has been used to describe the spatial and temporal variability of precipitation over the area. Data are interpolated using a modified Shepard scheme and the interpolation errors are compatible with those presented in Isotta et al. (Int J Climatol 34(5):1657–1675, 2014). The analysis is compared with other similar products available over the area considered, and differences and similarities are described, taking into account the impacts of different spatial resolution and time coverage. The data set is used to describe local climate with respect to precipitation, including mean values and seasonality, by using a group of climate annual and seasonal indices: cumulated precipitation, maximum number of consecutive dry days, frequency of wet days, mean precipitation intensity and 50th and 90th percentile of daily precipitation over a season. The linear trends over the full period of these indices are described and compared. It is shown that although the time series of area average total annual precipitation over north-central Italy does not show significant linear trends, these are present locally. In particular, significant negative trends of annual total precipitation are found in central Italy and in the inner part of northern plains, while significant positive linear trends are present in several areas over the Alps and over the Liguria coast. The seasons most affected by changes in precipitation are summer and autumn, which, in most areas, are the driest and wettest seasons. In summer, significant positive trends in total precipitation have been found in areas close to the northern national borders, while significant negative trends are located elsewhere. The number of wet days is significantly decreasing over most of the domain, but the 90th percentile of precipitation is significantly increasing over most of the Alpine area and northern Po Valley. Over the southern part of the Po Valley and central Italy summer precipitation is significantly becoming less frequent and, generally, less intense. In autumn, total precipitation is characterised by significant positive trends over large areas in Northern Italy and by significant negative trends in inner areas of the Central Apennines. The trend patterns present great similarities with those of the 90th percentile of daily precipitation for the same season. The maximum length of dry spell is significantly decreasing in autumn over most areas, including central Italy, while the number of wet days presents negative but mostly non significant trends over the whole domain. © 2018, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.
语种英语
scopus关键词climate change; error analysis; geostatistics; precipitation (climatology); spatial resolution; spatiotemporal analysis; trend analysis; twentieth century; twenty first century; Alps; Apennines; Italy; Po Valley
来源期刊Climate Dynamics
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/146462
作者单位ARPAE-SIMC, Bologna, Italy; Centro Funzionale Provincia Autonoma di Trento, Trento, Italy; Centro Funzionale Regione Umbria, Foligno, Italy; ARPA Liguria, Genova, Italy; Centro Funzionale Regionale, Regione Autonoma Valle d’Aosta, Aosta, Italy; Dipartimento di Protezione Civile Nazionale, Roma, Italy; ARPA Veneto, Arabba, Italy; ARPA Lombardia, Milano, Italy; ARPA Friuli Venezia Giulia, Palmanova, Italy; Centro Funzionale Regione Toscana-Settore Idrologico, Pisa, Italy; Consorzio LaMMA, Sesto Fiorentino, Italy; IBIMET-CNR, Sesto Fiorentino, Italy; Ufficio idrografico-Agenzia per la Protezione civile della Provincia Autonoma di Bolzano, Bozano, Italy; ARPA Piemonte, Torino, Italy; Centro Funzionale Regione Marche, Ancona, Italy; Servizio Idrografico Regione Umbria, Perugia, Italy
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GB/T 7714
Pavan V.,Antolini G.,Barbiero R.,等. High resolution climate precipitation analysis for north-central Italy; 1961–2015[J],2019,52(2020-05-06).
APA Pavan V..,Antolini G..,Barbiero R..,Berni N..,Brunier F..,...&Torrigiani Malaspina T..(2019).High resolution climate precipitation analysis for north-central Italy; 1961–2015.Climate Dynamics,52(2020-05-06).
MLA Pavan V.,et al."High resolution climate precipitation analysis for north-central Italy; 1961–2015".Climate Dynamics 52.2020-05-06(2019).
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