气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Wind energy variability and links to regional and synoptic scale weather

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s00382-018-4421-y
	Wind energy variability and links to regional and synoptic scale weather
	Millstein D.; Solomon-Culp J.; Wang M.; Ullrich P.; Collier C.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	0930-7575
起始页码	4891
结束页码	4906
卷号	52 期号:2020-07-08
英文摘要	The accurate characterization of seasonal and inter-annual site-level wind energy variability is essential during wind project development. Understanding the features and probability of low-wind years is of particular interest to developers and financers. However, a dearth of long-term, hub-height wind observations makes these characterizations challenging, and thus techniques to improve these characterizations are of great value. To improve resource characterization, we explicitly link wind resource variability (at hub-height, and at specific sites) to regional and synoptic scale wind regimes. Our approach involves statistical clustering of high-resolution modeled wind data, and is applied to California for a period covering 1980–2015. With this approach, we investigate the unique meteorological patterns driving low and high wind years at five separate wind project sites. We also find wind regime changes over the 36-year period consistent with global warming: wind regimes associated with anomalously hot summer days increased at half a day per year and stagnant conditions increased at one-third days per year. Despite these changes, the average annual resource potential remained constant at all project sites. Additionally, we identify correlations between climate modes and wind regime frequency, a linkage valuable for resource characterization and forecasting. Our general approach can be applied in any location and may benefit many aspects of wind energy resource evaluation and forecasting. © 2018, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.
英文关键词	Regional climate; Wind energy; Wind resource inter-annual variability
语种	英语
scopus关键词	annual variation; energy resource; global warming; regional climate; wind power; California; United States
来源期刊	Climate Dynamics
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/146379
作者单位	Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States; University of California, Davis, Davis, CA, United States; DNV GL, San Diego, CA, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Millstein D.,Solomon-Culp J.,Wang M.,et al. Wind energy variability and links to regional and synoptic scale weather[J],2019,52(2020-07-08).
APA	Millstein D.,Solomon-Culp J.,Wang M.,Ullrich P.,&Collier C..(2019).Wind energy variability and links to regional and synoptic scale weather.Climate Dynamics,52(2020-07-08).
MLA	Millstein D.,et al."Wind energy variability and links to regional and synoptic scale weather".Climate Dynamics 52.2020-07-08(2019).