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DOI10.1007/s00382-018-4482-y
Relationship between projected changes in precipitation and fronts in the austral winter of the Southern Hemisphere from a suite of CMIP5 models
Blázquez J.; Solman S.A.
发表日期2019
ISSN0930-7575
起始页码5849
结束页码5860
卷号52期号:2020-09-10
英文摘要A group of eight CMIP5 models are used to evaluate how much of the future changes in winter precipitation can be explained by changes in frontal activity over the Southern Hemisphere (SH). The frontal activity is calculated at the 850 hPa level using the cyclonic vorticity, the horizontal gradient of temperature and the specific humidity. The changes are evaluated taking into account the historical and the RCP45 experiments. Changes in frontal activity are positive over most of the SH, being the areas with the largest increases over the mid to high latitudes. Most of these changes are driven especially by the changes in the specific humidity. The precipitation change shows a decrease at subtropical latitudes, mostly associated with a decrease in non frontal precipitation, controlled by a decrease in relative humidity and in moisture flux convergence. At mid to higher latitudes, the precipitation responds to increases in both frontal and non frontal precipitation, associated with increasing frontal activity and relative humidity and increases in the moisture flux convergence at the lower levels of the atmosphere, respectively. © 2018, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.
英文关键词CMIP5 models; Fronts; Precipitation; Southern Hemisphere; Wintertime
语种英语
scopus关键词air temperature; atmospheric front; atmospheric moisture; climate change; climate modeling; CMIP; precipitation (climatology); relative humidity; Southern Hemisphere; vorticity; winter
来源期刊Climate Dynamics
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/146335
作者单位Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera (CIMA-CONICET/FCEN-UBA), Instituto Franco Argentino del Clima y sus Impactos (UMI IFAECI/CNRS), Facultad de Ciencias Astronómicas y Geofísicas, Universidad Nacional de La Plata. (FCAG/UNLP), Ciudad Universitaria Pabellón II Piso 2, Buenos Aires, C1428EGA, Argentina; Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos (FCEN-UBA), Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera (CIMA-CONICET/FCEN-UBA), Instituto Franco Argentino del Clima y sus Impactos (UMI IFAECI/CNRS), Ciudad Universitaria Pabellón II Piso 2, Buenos Aires, C1428EGA, Argentina
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Blázquez J.,Solman S.A.. Relationship between projected changes in precipitation and fronts in the austral winter of the Southern Hemisphere from a suite of CMIP5 models[J],2019,52(2020-09-10).
APA Blázquez J.,&Solman S.A..(2019).Relationship between projected changes in precipitation and fronts in the austral winter of the Southern Hemisphere from a suite of CMIP5 models.Climate Dynamics,52(2020-09-10).
MLA Blázquez J.,et al."Relationship between projected changes in precipitation and fronts in the austral winter of the Southern Hemisphere from a suite of CMIP5 models".Climate Dynamics 52.2020-09-10(2019).
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