气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Future wind and wave climate projections in the Indian Ocean based on a super-high-resolution MRI-AGCM3.2S model projection

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DOI	10.1007/s00382-019-04861-7
	Future wind and wave climate projections in the Indian Ocean based on a super-high-resolution MRI-AGCM3.2S model projection
	Kamranzad B.; Mori N.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	0930-7575
起始页码	2391
结束页码	2410
卷号	53 期号:2020-03-04
英文摘要	In this study, the impact of climate change on wind and wave characteristics has been assessed using super-high-resolution MRI-AGCM3.2S wind data and numerical modeling over the Indian Ocean. Wave characteristics were generated in two 25-year periods covering historical and future projections (RCP8.5), and the assessment indicated that, generally, the spatial distributions of wind speed, significant wave height (Hs) and mean spectral wave period (Tm01) will not dramatically change in the future. The assessment also indicated that the wind direction reversing pattern during monsoons will remain similar. Moreover, future westerly winds in the Southern Indian Ocean (SIO) will shift to the south and a decrease in future wind speed north of the equator will occur, espearound the equator due to cially during winter. The relative change of Hs will be less than wind speed the predominance of swells transferring from the SIO. There will be no considerable change in the future Tm01, except during autumn in the area north of the equator. A novel climate stability index is suggested showing that the semi-enclosed seas in the NIO and the western coasts of India and the Maldives will be areas with the least stability in terms of wave climate. Despite experiencing more intense wind and wave climates, the overall climate will be more stable in the SIO than the NIO. © 2019, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.
英文关键词	Climate change; Indian Ocean; MRI-AGCM3.2S; RCP8.5; SWAN; Wave model
语种	英语
scopus关键词	climate change; significant wave height; spatial distribution; wave climate; wave modeling; wind velocity; India; Indian Ocean; Indian Ocean (North); Indian Ocean (South); Maldives
来源期刊	Climate Dynamics
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/146093
作者单位	Graduate School of Advanced Integrated Studies in Human Survivability, Kyoto University, Yoshida-Nakaadachi 1, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto, 606-8306, Japan; Hakubi Center for Advanced Research, Kyoto University, Yoshida-honmachi, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto, 606-8501, Japan; Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Gokasho, Kyoto, Uji 611-0011, Japan
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Kamranzad B.,Mori N.. Future wind and wave climate projections in the Indian Ocean based on a super-high-resolution MRI-AGCM3.2S model projection[J],2019,53(2020-03-04).
APA	Kamranzad B.,&Mori N..(2019).Future wind and wave climate projections in the Indian Ocean based on a super-high-resolution MRI-AGCM3.2S model projection.Climate Dynamics,53(2020-03-04).
MLA	Kamranzad B.,et al."Future wind and wave climate projections in the Indian Ocean based on a super-high-resolution MRI-AGCM3.2S model projection".Climate Dynamics 53.2020-03-04(2019).