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DOI10.1007/s00382-019-04659-7
General seasonal phase-locking of variance and persistence: application to tropical pacific; north pacific and global ocean
Jin Y.; Liu Z.; Rong X.
发表日期2019
ISSN0930-7575
起始页码2825
结束页码2842
卷号53期号:2020-05-06
英文摘要A stochastic climate model is used to explain the major features of seasonal phase-locking of climate variability in general. The model is the classical damped persistence model, generalized with seasonal cycles in the growth rate and noise forcing. Our theory predicts distinct phase-locking features for different seasonal forcing. With seasonal growth rate, the forced variance lags the growth rate within a season, with the initial persistence in phase with the variance. With seasonal noise forcing, the variance also lags the noise forcing within a season, but the initial persistence lags the variance by a season. The theory is further applied successfully to the phase-locking of SST variability over the tropical Pacific, North Pacific and the world ocean. Overall, the variance and persistence is forced predominantly by the seasonal growth rate in the tropics with the variance and persistence in phase, but they are forced by the seasonal noise forcing in the mid-latitude with the variance and persistence in quadrature or even out phase. Our theory provides a general framework and a null hypothesis for the understanding of phase locking of climate variability in general. © 2019, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.
英文关键词Growth rate; Noise forcing; Persistence; Phase locking; Variance
语种英语
scopus关键词climate effect; climate modeling; climate variation; persistence; seasonal variation; stochasticity; Pacific Ocean; Pacific Ocean (North); Pacific Ocean (Tropical)
来源期刊Climate Dynamics
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/146052
作者单位Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China; Atmospheric Science Program, Department of Geography, The Ohio State University, Columbus, United States; State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China
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Jin Y.,Liu Z.,Rong X.. General seasonal phase-locking of variance and persistence: application to tropical pacific; north pacific and global ocean[J],2019,53(2020-05-06).
APA Jin Y.,Liu Z.,&Rong X..(2019).General seasonal phase-locking of variance and persistence: application to tropical pacific; north pacific and global ocean.Climate Dynamics,53(2020-05-06).
MLA Jin Y.,et al."General seasonal phase-locking of variance and persistence: application to tropical pacific; north pacific and global ocean".Climate Dynamics 53.2020-05-06(2019).
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