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DOI | 10.1007/s00382-020-05346-8 |
Improved clouds over Southern Ocean amplify Antarctic precipitation response to ozone depletion in an earth system model | |
Schneider D.P.; Kay J.E.; Lenaerts J. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 0930-7575 |
起始页码 | 1665 |
结束页码 | 1684 |
卷号 | 55 |
英文摘要 | Increasing precipitation on the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) in a warming climate has the potential to partially mitigate Antarctica’s contribution to sea level rise. We show that a simple, physically motivated change to the shallow convective cloud phase in the Community Earth System Model (CESM)—improving a long-standing bias in shortwave cloud forcing over the Southern Ocean—leads to an enhanced response of precipitation when the model is forced with realistic stratospheric ozone depletion, with other radiative forcing remaining constant. We analyze two ozone-forced ensemble experiments with the CESM version 1.1: one using the standard version of the model and the other using the cloud-modified version. The standard version exhibits a precipitation increase on the AIS of 34 gigatons year−1; the cloud-modified version shows an increase of 109 Gt year−1. The cloud-modified version shows a more robust, year-round poleward shift in the westerly jet and storm tracks, which brings more precipitation to the AIS, compared to the standard version. Greater surface warming and larger-amplitude stationary waves further increase the Antarctic precipitation response. The enhanced warming in the cloud-modified version is explained by larger positive shortwave cloud feedbacks, while the enhanced poleward jet shift is associated with a stronger meridional temperature gradient in the upper troposphere—lower stratosphere. These results illustrate (1) the sensitivity of forced changes in Antarctic precipitation to the mean state of a climate model and (2) the strong role of atmospheric dynamics in driving that forced precipitation response. © 2020, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature. |
英文关键词 | Antarctic ice sheet; Precipitation; Shortwave cloud feedbacks; Structural uncertainty |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | climate change; cloud; convection; ozone depletion; precipitation (climatology); sea level change; shortwave radiation; warming; Antarctic Ice Sheet; Antarctica; Southern Ocean |
来源期刊 | Climate Dynamics
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/145343 |
作者单位 | Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States; Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado – Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States; Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado – Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Schneider D.P.,Kay J.E.,Lenaerts J.. Improved clouds over Southern Ocean amplify Antarctic precipitation response to ozone depletion in an earth system model[J],2020,55. |
APA | Schneider D.P.,Kay J.E.,&Lenaerts J..(2020).Improved clouds over Southern Ocean amplify Antarctic precipitation response to ozone depletion in an earth system model.Climate Dynamics,55. |
MLA | Schneider D.P.,et al."Improved clouds over Southern Ocean amplify Antarctic precipitation response to ozone depletion in an earth system model".Climate Dynamics 55(2020). |
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