气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): A robust relationship between multidecadal global warming rate variations and the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s00382-020-05362-8
	A robust relationship between multidecadal global warming rate variations and the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability
	Li Z.; Zhang W.; Jin F.-F.; Stuecker M.F.; Sun C.; Levine A.F.Z.; Xu H.; Liu C.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0930-7575
起始页码	1945
结束页码	1959
卷号	55
英文摘要	How much and fast the Earth is warming in response to increasing greenhouse gas concentrations is one of the fundamental questions in climate science. Here we investigate the role that different modes of climate variability play in modulating the temperature response. We show evidence for a robust statistical relationship between global warming rate variations and Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV) across multiple observational datasets since 1850. The correlation between AMV and the global warming rate is maximized—with a correlation coefficient of about − 0.8—at ~ 10 to 20 years lead-time. In contrast, such a relation between global warming rate and the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) is far less coherent, showing negative correlation before the 1920s and positive correlation after that. Similar statistical relationships between global warming rate variations and the AMV/IPO can also be seen in the majority of the models from the Phase 5 of Coupled Models Inter-comparison Project. Further, a targeted model experiment is conducted to demonstrate the dominant control of the AMV on the unforced fraction of the global warming rate (compared to the IPO). © 2020, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.
英文关键词	AMV; Global warming rate; IPO; Multidecadal timescale
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation; CMIP; correlation; data set; decadal variation; experimental study; global warming
来源期刊	Climate Dynamics
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/145330
作者单位	CIC-FEMD/ILCEC, Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of Ministry of Education (KLME), School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China; Guizhou Meteorological Observatory, Guizhou Meteorological Bureau, Guiyang, China; Department of Atmospheric Sciences, SOEST, University of Hawai‘i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI, United States; Department of Oceanography and International Pacific Research Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI, United States; College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China; NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA, United States; Department of Atmospheric Science, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li Z.,Zhang W.,Jin F.-F.,et al. A robust relationship between multidecadal global warming rate variations and the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability[J],2020,55.
APA	Li Z..,Zhang W..,Jin F.-F..,Stuecker M.F..,Sun C..,...&Liu C..(2020).A robust relationship between multidecadal global warming rate variations and the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability.Climate Dynamics,55.
MLA	Li Z.,et al."A robust relationship between multidecadal global warming rate variations and the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability".Climate Dynamics 55(2020).