气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Pseudo-global warming projections of extreme wave storms in complex coastal regions: the case of the Adriatic Sea

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DOI	10.1007/s00382-020-05397-x
	Pseudo-global warming projections of extreme wave storms in complex coastal regions: the case of the Adriatic Sea
	Denamiel C.; Pranić P.; Quentin F.; Mihanović H.; Vilibić I.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0930-7575
起始页码	2483
结束页码	2509
卷号	55
英文摘要	This numerical work aims to better understand the behavior of extreme Adriatic Sea wave storms under projected climate change. In this spirit, 36 characteristic events—22 bora and 14 sirocco storms occurring between 1979 and 2019, were selected and ran in evaluation mode in order to estimate the skill of the kilometer-scale Adriatic Sea and Coast (AdriSC) modelling suite used in this study and to provide baseline conditions for the climate change impact. The pseudo-global warming (PGW) methodology—which imposes an additional climatological change to the forcing used in the evaluation simulations, was implemented, for the very first time, for a coupled ocean–wave–atmosphere model and used to assess the behavior of the selected storms under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 greenhouse gas projections. The findings of this experiment are that, on the one hand, the AdriSC model is found capable of reproducing both the Adriatic waves associated with the 36 storms and the northern Adriatic surges occurring during the sirocco events and, on the other hand, the significant wave heights and peak periods are likely to decrease during all future extreme events but most particularly during bora storms. The northern Adriatic storm surges are in consequence also likely to decrease during sirocco events. As it was previously demonstrated that the Adriatic extreme wind-wave events are likely to be less intense in a future warmer climate, this study also proved the validity of applying the PGW methodology to coupled ocean–wave–atmosphere models at the coastal and nearshore scales. © 2020, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.
英文关键词	Adriatic Sea; Extreme storms; Extreme waves; Pseudo-global warming; Storm surges
语种	英语
scopus关键词	climate change; climate effect; climatology; coastal zone; extreme event; global warming; significant wave height; storm; storm surge; Adriatic Sea; Mediterranean Sea
来源期刊	Climate Dynamics
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/145297
作者单位	Institute of Oceanography and Fisheries, Šetalište I. Meštrovića 63, Split, 21000, Croatia; SeaTech, Ecole d’ingénieurs, Université de Toulon, Toulon Cedex 9, CS 60584 83041, France
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Denamiel C.,Pranić P.,Quentin F.,et al. Pseudo-global warming projections of extreme wave storms in complex coastal regions: the case of the Adriatic Sea[J],2020,55.
APA	Denamiel C.,Pranić P.,Quentin F.,Mihanović H.,&Vilibić I..(2020).Pseudo-global warming projections of extreme wave storms in complex coastal regions: the case of the Adriatic Sea.Climate Dynamics,55.
MLA	Denamiel C.,et al."Pseudo-global warming projections of extreme wave storms in complex coastal regions: the case of the Adriatic Sea".Climate Dynamics 55(2020).