气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Towards influence of Arabian Sea SST anomalies on the withdrawal date of Meiyu over the Yangtze-Huaihe River basin

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DOI	10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105340
	Towards influence of Arabian Sea SST anomalies on the withdrawal date of Meiyu over the Yangtze-Huaihe River basin
	Wang J.; Liu Y.; Ding Y.; Wu Z.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0169-8095
卷号	249
英文摘要	Prediction of Meiyu withdrawal date (MWD) over the Yangtze-Huaihe River basin (YHRB) around mid-July has aroused extensive concern recently because of the profound socioeconomic and academic importance. However, relatively few researches have been carried out to identify the potential predictability source that can physically contribute to the Meiyu retreat over the YHRB, which exhibits profound year-to-year variations. This study identifies that the later-than-normal Meiyu withdrawal is preceded by the significant tropical June Arabian Sea (AS) surface sea surface (SST) warming on the interannual timescale. Analyses of possible mechanisms suggest that a striking quasi-barotropic “north-low–south-high” meridional seesaw pattern (i.e. PJ-like pattern) over the Northeast Asian–western North Pacific sector in July favors the transport and convergence of warm-moist water vapor and cold-dry air mass over the YHRB, inducing abundant in situ precipitation and thereby maintaining the Meiyu rainband. Under such a background, the Meiyu termination over the YHRB is delayed. Moreover, dynamical diagnoses and numerical model simulations indicate that the warmer-than-normal AS, which persists from June to the following July, can induce a notable localized low-level cyclonic anomaly via a Rossby-wave-like Matsuno–Gill-type atmospheric response. This cyclonic anomaly can further stimulate a large-scale atmosphere bridge stretching across South Asia and propagating poleward into Northeast Asia, which modulates the aforementioned downstream MWD-related atmospheric conditions continuously. Therefore, AS SST warming can remotely regulate and maintain the July Meiyu rainband through inducing a major direct forcing for the later Meiyu withdrawal over the YHRB, namely the East Asian coastal “north-low-south-high” meridional teleconnection. These results indicate and demonstrate the possible source of predictability for Meiyu withdrawal. This work may help improve forecasting of the withdrawal timing of Meiyu over the YHRB through more accurate predictions of SST over the AS region. © 2020 Elsevier B.V.
英文关键词	Arabian Sea; Interannual variations; Meiyu withdrawal date; SST anomalies; Yangtze-Huaihe River basin
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Forecasting; Mechanical waves; Meteorology; Surface waters; Watersheds; Accurate prediction; Atmospheric conditions; Atmospheric response; Huaihe river basins; In-situ precipitation; Numerical model simulations; Possible mechanisms; Western North Pacific; Oceanography; annual variation; atmospheric front; climate prediction; sea surface temperature; teleconnection; temperature anomaly; Arabian Sea; China; Huai Basin; Indian Ocean; Yangtze Basin
来源期刊	Atmospheric Research
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/145208
作者单位	Tianjin Key Laboratory for Oceanic Meteorology, and Tianjin Institute of Meteorological Science, Tianjin, 300074, China; National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, 100081, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang J.,Liu Y.,Ding Y.,et al. Towards influence of Arabian Sea SST anomalies on the withdrawal date of Meiyu over the Yangtze-Huaihe River basin[J],2021,249.
APA	Wang J.,Liu Y.,Ding Y.,&Wu Z..(2021).Towards influence of Arabian Sea SST anomalies on the withdrawal date of Meiyu over the Yangtze-Huaihe River basin.Atmospheric Research,249.
MLA	Wang J.,et al."Towards influence of Arabian Sea SST anomalies on the withdrawal date of Meiyu over the Yangtze-Huaihe River basin".Atmospheric Research 249(2021).