气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Winter temperatures predominate in spring phenological responses to warming

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DOI	10.1038/s41558-020-00917-3
	Winter temperatures predominate in spring phenological responses to warming
	Ettinger A.K.; Chamberlain C.J.; Morales-Castilla I.; Buonaiuto D.M.; Flynn D.F.B.; Savas T.; Samaha J.A.; Wolkovich E.M.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	1758-678X
英文摘要	Research on woody plant species highlights three major cues that shape spring phenological events: chilling, forcing and photoperiod. Increasing research on the phenological impacts of climate change has led to debate over whether chilling and/or photoperiod cues have slowed phenological responses to warming in recent years. Here we use a global meta-analysis of all published experiments to test the relative effects of these cues. Almost all species show strong responses to all three cues, with chilling being the strongest and photoperiod the weakest. Forecasts from our findings for Central Europe suggest that spring phenology will continue to advance, as stalling effects of chilling generally appear above 4 °C warming in this region. Our results unify both sides of the debate over phenological cues: while all species may respond to all cues strongly in experimental conditions, in current environmental conditions the dominant signal of climate change is from increased forcing. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/142235
作者单位	Arnold Arboretum of Harvard University, Boston, MA, United States; Department of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, United States; GloCEE - Global Change Ecology and Evolution Group, Department of Life Sciences, University of Alcalá, Alcalá de Henares, Spain; US Department of Transport, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, MA, United States; Media Lab, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States; Forest Resources Management, Faculty of Forestry, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; Forest and Conservation Sciences, Faculty of Forestry, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ettinger A.K.,Chamberlain C.J.,Morales-Castilla I.,et al. Winter temperatures predominate in spring phenological responses to warming[J],2020.
APA	Ettinger A.K..,Chamberlain C.J..,Morales-Castilla I..,Buonaiuto D.M..,Flynn D.F.B..,...&Wolkovich E.M..(2020).Winter temperatures predominate in spring phenological responses to warming.Nature Climate Change.
MLA	Ettinger A.K.,et al."Winter temperatures predominate in spring phenological responses to warming".Nature Climate Change (2020).