气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The appropriate use of reference scenarios in mitigation analysis

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41558-020-0826-9
	The appropriate use of reference scenarios in mitigation analysis
	Grant N.; Hawkes A.; Napp T.; Gambhir A.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	1758-678X
起始页码	605
结束页码	610
卷号	10 期号:7
英文摘要	Comparing emissions scenarios is an essential part of mitigation analysis, as climate targets can be met in various ways with different economic, energy system and co-benefit implications. Typically, a central ‘reference scenario’ acts as a point of comparison, and often this has been a no policy baseline with no explicit mitigative action taken. The use of such baselines is under increasing scrutiny, raising a wider question around the appropriate use of reference scenarios in mitigation analysis. In this Perspective, we assess three critical issues relevant to the use of reference scenarios, demonstrating how different policy contexts merit the use of different scenarios. We provide recommendations to the modelling community on best practice in the creation, use and communication of reference scenarios. © 2020, Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	communication; mitigation; policy approach; questionnaire survey
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/142186
作者单位	Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Department of Chemical Engineering, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Grant N.,Hawkes A.,Napp T.,et al. The appropriate use of reference scenarios in mitigation analysis[J],2020,10(7).
APA	Grant N.,Hawkes A.,Napp T.,&Gambhir A..(2020).The appropriate use of reference scenarios in mitigation analysis.Nature Climate Change,10(7).
MLA	Grant N.,et al."The appropriate use of reference scenarios in mitigation analysis".Nature Climate Change 10.7(2020).