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DOI | 10.1038/s41558-020-0841-x |
Short-lived climate forcers have long-term climate impacts via the carbon–climate feedback | |
Fu B.; Gasser T.; Li B.; Tao S.; Ciais P.; Piao S.; Balkanski Y.; Li W.; Yin T.; Han L.; Li X.; Han Y.; An J.; Peng S.; Xu J. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
起始页码 | 851 |
结束页码 | 855 |
卷号 | 10期号:9 |
英文摘要 | Short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs) like methane, ozone and aerosols have a shorter atmospheric lifetime than CO2 and are often assumed to have a short-term effect on the climate system: should their emissions cease, so would their radiative forcing (RF). However, via their climate impact, SLCFs can affect carbon sinks and atmospheric CO2, causing additional climate change. Here, we use a compact Earth system model to attribute CO2 RF to direct CO2 emissions and to climate–carbon feedbacks since the pre-industrial era. We estimate the climate–carbon feedback contributed 93 ± 50 mW m−2 (~5%) to total RF of CO2 in 2010. Of this, SLCF impacts were −13 ± 50 mW m−2, made up of cooling (−115 ± 43 mW m−2) and warming (102 ± 26 mW m−2) terms that largely cancel. This study illustrates the long-term impact that short-lived species have on climate and indicates that past (and future) change in atmospheric CO2 cannot be attributed only to CO2 emissions. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited. |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | carbon dioxide; carbon emission; climate effect; climate forcing; long-term change; ozone; radiative forcing; warming |
来源期刊 | Nature Climate Change
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/142146 |
作者单位 | Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria; Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application, Nanjing, China; Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Gif-sur-Yvette, France; Key Laboratory of Alpine Ecology, Center for Excellence in Tibetan Earth Science, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Fu B.,Gasser T.,Li B.,等. Short-lived climate forcers have long-term climate impacts via the carbon–climate feedback[J],2020,10(9). |
APA | Fu B..,Gasser T..,Li B..,Tao S..,Ciais P..,...&Xu J..(2020).Short-lived climate forcers have long-term climate impacts via the carbon–climate feedback.Nature Climate Change,10(9). |
MLA | Fu B.,et al."Short-lived climate forcers have long-term climate impacts via the carbon–climate feedback".Nature Climate Change 10.9(2020). |
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