气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19

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DOI	10.1038/s41558-020-0883-0
	Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19
	Forster P.M.; Forster H.I.; Evans M.J.; Gidden M.J.; Jones C.D.; Keller C.A.; Lamboll R.D.; Quéré C.L.; Rogelj J.; Rosen D.; Schleussner C.-F.; Richardson T.B.; Smith C.J.; Turnock S.T.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	1758-678X
起始页码	913
结束页码	919
卷号	10 期号:10
英文摘要	The global response to the COVID-19 pandemic has led to a sudden reduction of both GHG emissions and air pollutants. Here, using national mobility data, we estimate global emission reductions for ten species during the period February to June 2020. We estimate that global NOx emissions declined by as much as 30% in April, contributing a short-term cooling since the start of the year. This cooling trend is offset by ~20% reduction in global SO2 emissions that weakens the aerosol cooling effect, causing short-term warming. As a result, we estimate that the direct effect of the pandemic-driven response will be negligible, with a cooling of around 0.01 ± 0.005 °C by 2030 compared to a baseline scenario that follows current national policies. In contrast, with an economic recovery tilted towards green stimulus and reductions in fossil fuel investments, it is possible to avoid future warming of 0.3 °C by 2050. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/142121
作者单位	Priestley International Centre for Climate, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; Queen Margaret’s School, Escrick, York, United Kingdom; Wolfson Atmospheric Chemistry Laboratories, Department of Chemistry, University of York, York, United Kingdom; National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of York, York, United Kingdom; Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany; Energy Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria; Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom; NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States; Universities Space Research Association, Columbia, MD, United States; Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; IRI THESys, Humboldt University, Berlin, ...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Forster P.M.,Forster H.I.,Evans M.J.,et al. Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19[J],2020,10(10).
APA	Forster P.M..,Forster H.I..,Evans M.J..,Gidden M.J..,Jones C.D..,...&Turnock S.T..(2020).Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19.Nature Climate Change,10(10).
MLA	Forster P.M.,et al."Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19".Nature Climate Change 10.10(2020).