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DOI	10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105152
	Change in the heatwave statistical characteristics over China during the climate warming slowdown
	Li X.; Ren G.; Wang S.; You Q.; Sun Y.; Ma Y.; Wang D.; Zhang W.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0169-8095
卷号	247
英文摘要	Heatwaves are multi-day periods of extremely high-temperature weather relative to a region's average conditions and are among the deadliest natural disasters. This study was designed to evaluate changes in the characteristics of heatwaves during the periods of warming acceleration versus warming slowdown using the multivariate joint probability distributions of heatwave duration and severity. The results revealed that: (1) From the warming acceleration period (1961–1997) to the warming slowdown period (1998–2017), the return levels of heatwave duration increased by <1.0 d as the return period increased. As the return period lengthened, the return level of heatwave severity rose as well; (2) The joint occurrence probability of heatwaves with both variables exceeding the 20-yr, 50-yr, and 100-yr return levels exhibited relative increases of 3%, 8%, and 16% across China, respectively. There were greater than the joint probability of heatwaves with only 1 variable exceeding the return levels; (3) The number of heatwaves with both duration and severity exceeding the 50-yr joint return period increased in China, and this increase was dominated by heatwaves with joint return periods of 50–100 years, leading to a strengthening of heatwave severity. © 2020 Elsevier B.V.
英文关键词	China; Heatwaves; Joint probability distribution; Joint return period; Warming slowdown
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate change; Disasters; Climate warming; High temperature; Joint probability; Joint probability distributions; Joint return period; Natural disasters; Occurrence probability; Statistical characteristics; Probability distributions; global warming; heat wave; multivariate analysis; probability; return period; severe weather; temporal distribution; China
来源期刊	Atmospheric Research
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/141773
作者单位	Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education (KLME)/Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environmental Change (ILCEC)/Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters (CIC-FEMD)/Earth System Modeling Center, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (NUIST), Nanjing, China; Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Monitoring and Early Warning and Risk Management of Characteristic Agriculture in Arid Regions, CMA, Yinchuan, China; Department of Atmospheric Science, School of Environmental Studies, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China; Laboratory for Climate Studies, National Climate Center, CMA, Beijing, China; Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences & Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li X.,Ren G.,Wang S.,et al. Change in the heatwave statistical characteristics over China during the climate warming slowdown[J],2021,247.
APA	Li X..,Ren G..,Wang S..,You Q..,Sun Y..,...&Zhang W..(2021).Change in the heatwave statistical characteristics over China during the climate warming slowdown.Atmospheric Research,247.
MLA	Li X.,et al."Change in the heatwave statistical characteristics over China during the climate warming slowdown".Atmospheric Research 247(2021).