气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Advances in CMIP6 INM-CM5 over CMIP5 INM-CM4 for precipitation simulation in South Korea

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105261
	Advances in CMIP6 INM-CM5 over CMIP5 INM-CM4 for precipitation simulation in South Korea
	Song Y.H.; Nashwan M.S.; Chung E.-S.; Shahid S.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0169-8095
卷号	247
英文摘要	This study compared the historical and future simulations of precipitation in South Korea from INM-CM4 of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) 5 and INM-CM5 of CMIP6 to identify their differences for the projections of corresponding scenarios by three timeframes (annual, summer and winter) and four regions (NW, NE, SW and SE). Six performance indicators were used to quantify the models' reproducibility to precipitation at 22 stations in South Korea for the historical period (1970–2005). Then, the change rates of precipitations in near and far futures (2020–2059 and 2060–2099) were calculated for two representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 and socioeconomic shared pathway (SSP) 2–4.5 and 5–8.5. Their uncertainties were also quantified using standard deviations and interquartile ranges. As a result, CM5 clearly showed a 7.4% improvement in six performance indicators. The change rates in far future were larger but the uncertainties were smaller. But both the rates and uncertainties in NW were the largest. Also, the uncertainties in INM-CM5 were also smaller than in INM-CM4 for all timeframes and the differences between RCP4.5 and SSP2-4.5 were absolutely larger than those between RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5. © 2020 Elsevier B.V.
英文关键词	CMIP5; CMIP6; Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP); Socioeconomic Shared Pathway (SSP); South Korea
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Benchmarking; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project; Historical periods; Inter quartile ranges; Performance indicators; Reproducibilities; South Korea; Standard deviation; Silicon compounds; CMIP; precipitation (climatology); regional climate; seasonal variation; South Korea
来源期刊	Atmospheric Research
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/141729
作者单位	Faculty of Civil Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology, 232 Gongneung-ro, Nowon-gu, Seoul, 01811, South Korea; Department of Construction and Building Engineering, College of Engineering and Technology, Arab Academy for Science, Technology and Maritime Transport (AASTMT), 2033 Elhorria, Heliopolis, Cairo, Egypt; Department of Hydraulics and Hydrology, School of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia (UTM), Skudai, Johor 81310, Malaysia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Song Y.H.,Nashwan M.S.,Chung E.-S.,et al. Advances in CMIP6 INM-CM5 over CMIP5 INM-CM4 for precipitation simulation in South Korea[J],2021,247.
APA	Song Y.H.,Nashwan M.S.,Chung E.-S.,&Shahid S..(2021).Advances in CMIP6 INM-CM5 over CMIP5 INM-CM4 for precipitation simulation in South Korea.Atmospheric Research,247.
MLA	Song Y.H.,et al."Advances in CMIP6 INM-CM5 over CMIP5 INM-CM4 for precipitation simulation in South Korea".Atmospheric Research 247(2021).