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DOI | 10.1126/science.aba1238 |
Evolving epidemiology of poliovirus serotype 2 following withdrawal of the serotype 2 oral poliovirus vaccine | |
Macklin G.R.; O’Reilly K.M.; Grassly N.C.; Edmunds W.J.; Mach O.; Santhana Gopala Krishnan R.; Voorman A.; Vertefeuille J.F.; Abdelwahab J.; Gumede N.; Goel A.; Sosler S.; Sever J.; Bandyopadhyay A.S.; Pallansch M.A.; Nandy R.; Mkanda P.; Diop O.M.; Sutter R.W. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 0036-8075 |
起始页码 | 401 |
结束页码 | 405 |
卷号 | 368期号:6489 |
英文摘要 | Although there have been no cases of serotype 2 wild poliovirus for more than 20 years, transmission of serotype 2 vaccine-derived poliovirus (VDPV2) and associated paralytic cases in several continents represent a threat to eradication. The withdrawal of the serotype 2 component of oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV2) was implemented in April 2016 to stop VDPV2 emergence and secure eradication of all serotype 2 poliovirus. Globally, children born after this date have limited immunity to prevent transmission. Using a statistical model, we estimated the emergence date and source of VDPV2s detected between May 2016 and November 2019. Outbreak response campaigns with monovalent OPV2 are the only available method to induce immunity to prevent transmission. Yet our analysis shows that using monovalent OPV2 is generating more paralytic VDPV2 outbreaks with the potential for establishing endemic transmission. A novel OPV2, for which two candidates are currently in clinical trials, is urgently required, together with a contingency strategy if this vaccine does not materialize or perform as anticipated. Copyright © 2020 The Authors, |
关键词 | poliomyelitis vaccineoral poliomyelitis vaccinedisease transmissionepidemiologyimmunityvaccinevirusacute flaccid paralysisArticledisease controldisease eradicationflaccid paralysisgeographyhealth care policyhumanHuman poliovirus 2immune deficiencyimmunizationincidenceintestinal mucosal immunitylogistic regression analysismucosal immunitypriority journalpublic health campaignsanitationstatistical modeltreatment withdrawalvirus transmissionepidemicglobal healthimmunologypoliomyelitisPoliomyelitis virusprocedurestreatment withdrawalPoliovirusDisease EradicationDisease OutbreaksGlobal HealthHumansPoliomyelitisPoliovirusPoliovirus Vaccine, OralWithholding Treatment |
语种 | 英语 |
来源机构 | Science |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/133550 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Macklin G.R.,O’Reilly K.M.,Grassly N.C.,et al. Evolving epidemiology of poliovirus serotype 2 following withdrawal of the serotype 2 oral poliovirus vaccine[J]. Science,2020,368(6489). |
APA | Macklin G.R..,O’Reilly K.M..,Grassly N.C..,Edmunds W.J..,Mach O..,...&Sutter R.W..(2020).Evolving epidemiology of poliovirus serotype 2 following withdrawal of the serotype 2 oral poliovirus vaccine.,368(6489). |
MLA | Macklin G.R.,et al."Evolving epidemiology of poliovirus serotype 2 following withdrawal of the serotype 2 oral poliovirus vaccine".368.6489(2020). |
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