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DOI10.1126/science.abb6105
An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China
Tian H.; Liu Y.; Li Y.; Wu C.-H.; Chen B.; Kraemer M.U.G.; Li B.; Cai J.; Xu B.; Yang Q.; Wang B.; Yang P.; Cui Y.; Song Y.; Zheng P.; Wang Q.; Bjornstad O.N.; Yang R.; Grenfell B.T.; Pybus O.G.; Dye C.
发表日期2020
ISSN0036-8075
起始页码638
结束页码642
卷号368期号:6491
英文摘要Responding to an outbreak of a novel coronavirus [agent of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)] in December 2019, China banned travel to and from Wuhan city on 23 January 2020 and implemented a national emergency response. We investigated the spread and control of COVID-19 using a data set that included case reports, human movement, and public health interventions. The Wuhan shutdown was associated with the delayed arrival of COVID-19 in other cities by 2.91 days. Cities that implemented control measures preemptively reported fewer cases on average (13.0) in the first week of their outbreaks compared with cities that started control later (20.6). Suspending intracity public transport, closing entertainment venues, and banning public gatherings were associated with reductions in case incidence. The national emergency response appears to have delayed the growth and limited the size of the COVID-19 epidemic in China, averting hundreds of thousands of cases by 19 February (day 50). Copyright © 2020 The Authors,
关键词data setdisease controldisease incidencedisease transmissionepidemicpublic healthviral diseaseArticleChinacoronavirus disease 2019disease durationdisease transmissionepidemichealth care planninghumanincidenceinfection controlinfluenza A (H1N1)pandemicpatient isolationpriority journalpublic healthsample sizescale uptraffic and transportBetacoronaviruscommunicable disease controlCoronavirus infectionepidemicpandemicpublic health serviceregression analysisstatistical modeltravelvirus pneumoniaChinaHubeiWuhanCoronavirusBetacoronavirusChinaCommunicable Disease ControlCoronavirus InfectionsEpidemicsHumansIncidenceModels, StatisticalPandemicsPneumonia, ViralPublic Health PracticeRegression AnalysisTravel
语种英语
来源机构Science
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/133521
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GB/T 7714
Tian H.,Liu Y.,Li Y.,et al. An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China[J]. Science,2020,368(6491).
APA Tian H..,Liu Y..,Li Y..,Wu C.-H..,Chen B..,...&Dye C..(2020).An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China.,368(6491).
MLA Tian H.,et al."An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China".368.6491(2020).
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