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DOI | 10.1126/science.abb6105 |
An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China | |
Tian H.; Liu Y.; Li Y.; Wu C.-H.; Chen B.; Kraemer M.U.G.; Li B.; Cai J.; Xu B.; Yang Q.; Wang B.; Yang P.; Cui Y.; Song Y.; Zheng P.; Wang Q.; Bjornstad O.N.; Yang R.; Grenfell B.T.; Pybus O.G.; Dye C. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 0036-8075 |
起始页码 | 638 |
结束页码 | 642 |
卷号 | 368期号:6491 |
英文摘要 | Responding to an outbreak of a novel coronavirus [agent of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)] in December 2019, China banned travel to and from Wuhan city on 23 January 2020 and implemented a national emergency response. We investigated the spread and control of COVID-19 using a data set that included case reports, human movement, and public health interventions. The Wuhan shutdown was associated with the delayed arrival of COVID-19 in other cities by 2.91 days. Cities that implemented control measures preemptively reported fewer cases on average (13.0) in the first week of their outbreaks compared with cities that started control later (20.6). Suspending intracity public transport, closing entertainment venues, and banning public gatherings were associated with reductions in case incidence. The national emergency response appears to have delayed the growth and limited the size of the COVID-19 epidemic in China, averting hundreds of thousands of cases by 19 February (day 50). Copyright © 2020 The Authors, |
关键词 | data setdisease controldisease incidencedisease transmissionepidemicpublic healthviral diseaseArticleChinacoronavirus disease 2019disease durationdisease transmissionepidemichealth care planninghumanincidenceinfection controlinfluenza A (H1N1)pandemicpatient isolationpriority journalpublic healthsample sizescale uptraffic and transportBetacoronaviruscommunicable disease controlCoronavirus infectionepidemicpandemicpublic health serviceregression analysisstatistical modeltravelvirus pneumoniaChinaHubeiWuhanCoronavirusBetacoronavirusChinaCommunicable Disease ControlCoronavirus InfectionsEpidemicsHumansIncidenceModels, StatisticalPandemicsPneumonia, ViralPublic Health PracticeRegression AnalysisTravel |
语种 | 英语 |
来源机构 | Science |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/133521 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Tian H.,Liu Y.,Li Y.,et al. An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China[J]. Science,2020,368(6491). |
APA | Tian H..,Liu Y..,Li Y..,Wu C.-H..,Chen B..,...&Dye C..(2020).An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China.,368(6491). |
MLA | Tian H.,et al."An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China".368.6491(2020). |
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