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DOI | 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.104999 |
Modelling hourly spatio-temporal PM2.5 concentration in wildfire scenarios using dynamic linear models | |
Sánchez-Balseca J.; Pérez-Foguet A. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 0169-8095 |
卷号 | 242 |
英文摘要 | Particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter < 2.5 μm (PM2.5) is one of the main pollutants generated in wildfire events with negative impacts on human health. In research involving wildfires and air quality, it is common to use emission models. However, the commonly used emission approach can generate errors and contradict the empirical data. This paper adopted a statistical approach based in evidence of ground level monitoring and satellite data. An hourly PM2.5 spatio-temporal model based on a dynamic linear modelling framework with Bayesian approach was proposed in a territorial context with a reduced number of monitoring stations for particulate matter. The model validation is complicated by the fact that all monitoring stations are used in the model calibration. The novel validation method proposed considered both the particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter < 10 μm (PM10) recorded as daily value from 24-h mean every six days as well as the PM2.5/PM10 ratio. Modelling was carried out to provide satisfactorily the exposure level of PM2.5 in a case study of wildfire event. © 2020 Elsevier B.V. |
关键词 | AerodynamicsAir qualityBayesian networksParticles (particulate matter)Aerodynamic diametersBayesian approachesDynamic linear modelModelling frameworkMonitoring stationsPM2.5 concentrationSpatio-temporal modelsStatistical approachFiresair qualityatmospheric pollutionconcentration (composition)health impactmodelingparticulate matterpublic healthwildfire |
语种 | 英语 |
来源机构 | Atmospheric Research |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/132452 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sánchez-Balseca J.,Pérez-Foguet A.. Modelling hourly spatio-temporal PM2.5 concentration in wildfire scenarios using dynamic linear models[J]. Atmospheric Research,2020,242. |
APA | Sánchez-Balseca J.,&Pérez-Foguet A..(2020).Modelling hourly spatio-temporal PM2.5 concentration in wildfire scenarios using dynamic linear models.,242. |
MLA | Sánchez-Balseca J.,et al."Modelling hourly spatio-temporal PM2.5 concentration in wildfire scenarios using dynamic linear models".242(2020). |
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