气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Conditional distribution selection for SPEI-daily and its revealed meteorological drought characteristics in China from 1961 to 2017

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105108
	Conditional distribution selection for SPEI-daily and its revealed meteorological drought characteristics in China from 1961 to 2017
	Ma B.; Zhang B.; Jia L.; Huang H.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0169-8095
卷号	246
英文摘要	Drought is one of the most complex natural disasters, while meteorological drought is the root cause of other types of drought. In this study, all meteorological drought events in China from 1961 to 2017 were calculated using the SPEI of the Julian calendar as a time step. The duration and intensity of meteorological drought events and the major meteorological factors that dominated their development were analyzed and discussed. Our study reveals that the normalized results of the log-logistic distribution almost subject to the standard normal distribution; SPEI-daily can capture more detailed drought process than SPEI-month; The frequency of meteorological drought events in the eastern monsoon area of China is high, the duration is short, and the intensity of drought is weak, while the frequency of drought events the northwest arid region is low, the duration is long, and the intensity is strong; Trend of the drought events' frequency of China from 1961 to 2017 is consistent with the global trend; The dominant factors of drought events by Sobol's global sensitivity analysis revealed that the frequency of drought events dominated by PET in the northwest arid region and southern China decreased from 1961 to 1980, and began to increase after 1990; The characteristics of the changes in China's meteorological drought events that we reveal can not only provide reference for disaster prevention and mitigation, but also provide insights for China to adapt to global climate change. © 2020 Elsevier B.V.
关键词	Arid regions Climate change Disaster prevention Disasters Normal distribution Sensitivity analysis Conditional distribution Disaster prevention and mitigations Global climate changes Global sensitivity analysis Log-logistic distribution Meteorological drought Meteorological factors Standard normal distributions Drought climate change drought evapotranspiration global change meteorology precipitation (climatology)China
语种	英语
来源机构	Atmospheric Research
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/132350
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ma B.,Zhang B.,Jia L.,et al. Conditional distribution selection for SPEI-daily and its revealed meteorological drought characteristics in China from 1961 to 2017[J]. Atmospheric Research,2020,246.
APA	Ma B.,Zhang B.,Jia L.,&Huang H..(2020).Conditional distribution selection for SPEI-daily and its revealed meteorological drought characteristics in China from 1961 to 2017.,246.
MLA	Ma B.,et al."Conditional distribution selection for SPEI-daily and its revealed meteorological drought characteristics in China from 1961 to 2017".246(2020).