气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Decision-dependent uncertainty in adaptive real-options water resource planning

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.advwatres.2019.103490
	Decision-dependent uncertainty in adaptive real-options water resource planning
	Erfani T.; Pachos K.; Harou J.J.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0309-1708
卷号	136
英文摘要	Staged water infrastructure capacity expansion optimization models help create flexible plans under uncertainty. In these models exogenous uncertainty can be incorporated into the optimization using an a priori hydrological and demand scenario ensemble. However some water supply intervention uncertainties cannot be considered in this way, such as demand management or technological options. In these cases the uncertainty is endogenous or ‘decision-dependent’, i.e., the optimized timing and selection of interventions determines when and which uncertainties must be considered. We formulate a multistage real-options water supply capacity expansion optimization model incorporating such uncertainty and describe its effect on cost and option selection. © 2019
关键词	Expansion Optimization Water supply Capacity expansion Decision-dependent uncertainties Endogenous uncertainty Optimization modeling Optimization models Water infrastructure Water resource planning Water resources planning Water resources adaptive management uncertainty analysis water management water planning water resource water supply
语种	英语
来源机构	Advances in Water Resources
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/131869
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Erfani T.,Pachos K.,Harou J.J.. Decision-dependent uncertainty in adaptive real-options water resource planning[J]. Advances in Water Resources,2020,136.
APA	Erfani T.,Pachos K.,&Harou J.J..(2020).Decision-dependent uncertainty in adaptive real-options water resource planning.,136.
MLA	Erfani T.,et al."Decision-dependent uncertainty in adaptive real-options water resource planning".136(2020).