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DOI10.1002/wcc.532
Modeling the climate and carbon systems to estimate the social cost of carbon
Thompson T.M.
发表日期2018
ISSN1757-7780
EISSN1757-7779
卷号9期号:5
英文摘要This study compares 10 models of the global carbon and climate systems, that represent model sophistication ranging from very simple parameterizations to Earth System Models of Intermediate complexity (EMICS): DICE, PAGE, FUND, FAIR, Hector, OSCAR, ACC2, MAGICC, MESM, and UVic. The focus of this analysis is on how these models meet scientific design and transparency criteria recommended by a recent Committee of the National Academy of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine, for developing a monetized estimate of the future damages from an incremental increase in carbon dioxide emissions in a given year (i.e., the social cost of carbon dioxide [SC-CO2]). The National Academies report directly addresses methods for estimating the SC-CO2, including a chapter outlining specific recommendations for a carbon/climate module. The carbon/climate piece of the model platform will capture the dispersion of carbon and energy through the earth system, and estimate the resulting change in several globally averaged metrics: temperature change, sea level, and ocean acidity. A number of model characteristics are evaluated and the findings identify models that meet the recommendations associated with each characteristic. Based on these findings, there are several publically available carbon/climate models that would meet the recommendations presented by the National Academies. This article is categorized under: Climate Economics > Economics and Climate Change. © 2018 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
英文关键词climate change; modeling; policy; social cost of carbon
语种英语
scopus关键词Carbon dioxide; Climate change; Cost benefit analysis; Cost engineering; Cost estimating; Design; Earth (planet); Global warming; Models; Public policy; Sea level; Carbon dioxide emissions; Earth system model; Intermediate complexity; National academies; National Academy of Science; Social cost of carbon; Temperature changes; Transparency criteria; Climate models; carbon dioxide; carbon emission; climate change; climate modeling; environmental policy; parameterization
来源期刊Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/129939
作者单位American Association for the Advancement of Science, NW, Washington, DC, United States
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Thompson T.M.. Modeling the climate and carbon systems to estimate the social cost of carbon[J],2018,9(5).
APA Thompson T.M..(2018).Modeling the climate and carbon systems to estimate the social cost of carbon.Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,9(5).
MLA Thompson T.M.."Modeling the climate and carbon systems to estimate the social cost of carbon".Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 9.5(2018).
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