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| DOI | 10.1002/wcc.532 |
| Modeling the climate and carbon systems to estimate the social cost of carbon | |
| Thompson T.M. | |
| 发表日期 | 2018 |
| ISSN | 1757-7780 |
| EISSN | 1757-7779 |
| 卷号 | 9期号:5 |
| 英文摘要 | This study compares 10 models of the global carbon and climate systems, that represent model sophistication ranging from very simple parameterizations to Earth System Models of Intermediate complexity (EMICS): DICE, PAGE, FUND, FAIR, Hector, OSCAR, ACC2, MAGICC, MESM, and UVic. The focus of this analysis is on how these models meet scientific design and transparency criteria recommended by a recent Committee of the National Academy of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine, for developing a monetized estimate of the future damages from an incremental increase in carbon dioxide emissions in a given year (i.e., the social cost of carbon dioxide [SC-CO2]). The National Academies report directly addresses methods for estimating the SC-CO2, including a chapter outlining specific recommendations for a carbon/climate module. The carbon/climate piece of the model platform will capture the dispersion of carbon and energy through the earth system, and estimate the resulting change in several globally averaged metrics: temperature change, sea level, and ocean acidity. A number of model characteristics are evaluated and the findings identify models that meet the recommendations associated with each characteristic. Based on these findings, there are several publically available carbon/climate models that would meet the recommendations presented by the National Academies. This article is categorized under: Climate Economics > Economics and Climate Change. © 2018 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. |
| 英文关键词 | climate change; modeling; policy; social cost of carbon |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| scopus关键词 | Carbon dioxide; Climate change; Cost benefit analysis; Cost engineering; Cost estimating; Design; Earth (planet); Global warming; Models; Public policy; Sea level; Carbon dioxide emissions; Earth system model; Intermediate complexity; National academies; National Academy of Science; Social cost of carbon; Temperature changes; Transparency criteria; Climate models; carbon dioxide; carbon emission; climate change; climate modeling; environmental policy; parameterization |
| 来源期刊 | Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/129939 |
| 作者单位 | American Association for the Advancement of Science, NW, Washington, DC, United States |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Thompson T.M.. Modeling the climate and carbon systems to estimate the social cost of carbon[J],2018,9(5). |
| APA | Thompson T.M..(2018).Modeling the climate and carbon systems to estimate the social cost of carbon.Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,9(5). |
| MLA | Thompson T.M.."Modeling the climate and carbon systems to estimate the social cost of carbon".Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 9.5(2018). |
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