气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): How will the Chinese national carbon emissions trading scheme work? The assessment of regional potential gains

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DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2019.111095
	How will the Chinese national carbon emissions trading scheme work? The assessment of regional potential gains
	Chen Z.; Yuan X.-C.; Zhang X.; Cao Y.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0301-4215
卷号	137
英文摘要	The implementation of a national emissions trading scheme (ETS) in China is likely to have an important effect on potential regional gains. This study proposes a unified analytical framework for anticipating such gains in 2020 and estimates the key factors involved using data envelopment analysis based models. The results indicate that: (1) when the value of the marginal abatement cost is higher than the carbon price, no regions will have an incentive to reduce emissions by technological improvements. The only source of direct potential gains is from the amounts of carbon quota. (2) As carbon price increases from CNY 10 to 4000 per ton, the indirect potential gains will increase because the strategies for carbon reduction are technological innovation or limit economic activities. However, Jiangsu and Shanghai will suffer potential losses even though the price is high because they have no more carbon reduction potential. (3) Most central provinces will have potential gains when the carbon price is lower in ETS, while regions rich in fossil energy sources will suffer potential losses. However, a middle-price interval of CNY 1000–2000/ton is more rational, because it helps motivate market transactions and benefits low-carbon technological innovations. © 2019 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Carbon price; Data envelopment analysis (DEA); Emissions trading scheme (ETS); Potential gains
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Commerce; Data envelopment analysis; Emission control; Carbon price; Carbon reduction potentials; Emissions Trading Scheme; Fossil energy sources; Marginal abatement costs; Potential gains; Technological improvements; Technological innovation; Carbon; assessment method; carbon emission; data envelopment analysis; emission control; emissions trading; China; Jiangsu; Shanghai
来源期刊	Energy policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/124918
作者单位	School of Economics, Beijing Technology and Business University, Beijing, 100048, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Urban-Rural Coordinated Development, Henan University of Economics and Law, Zhengzhou, 450046, China; School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081, China; Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081, China; Department of Public Policy, City University of Hong Kong, Tat Chee Avenue, Hong Kong; Shenzhen Research Institute, City University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Chen Z.,Yuan X.-C.,Zhang X.,et al. How will the Chinese national carbon emissions trading scheme work? The assessment of regional potential gains[J],2020,137.
APA	Chen Z.,Yuan X.-C.,Zhang X.,&Cao Y..(2020).How will the Chinese national carbon emissions trading scheme work? The assessment of regional potential gains.Energy policy,137.
MLA	Chen Z.,et al."How will the Chinese national carbon emissions trading scheme work? The assessment of regional potential gains".Energy policy 137(2020).