气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Analysis and prediction of industrial energy conservation in underdeveloped regions of China using a data pre-processing grey model

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111244
	Analysis and prediction of industrial energy conservation in underdeveloped regions of China using a data pre-processing grey model
	Guo H.; Deng S.; Yang J.; Liu J.; Nie C.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0301-4215
卷号	139
英文摘要	As industrialisation continues to accelerate in China, underdeveloped regions are required to reduce their energy consumption. In this study, we examined industrial energy conservation in China's policy guidance and formulation, and the development of industrial energy conservation in the 12th Five-Year Plan period. Using a pre-processing grey model GM(1, 3), we forecast the energy consumption per unit of industrial added-values during the 2015–2020 period with higher accuracy than the untreated model. To comprehensively understand the energy consumptions of the primary products of six high energy-consuming industries, we established pre-processing GM(1,1) for the 2017–2024 period. The results show that the ecological development path not only promotes economic and industrial developments but also significantly reduces energy consumption. Moreover, the annual reduction rate of energy consumption per unit product is projected to be moderate during the 2015–2020 period than during the 12th Five-Year Plan period. Finally, we investigate and analyse the existing problems of industrial energy conservation and the development of the six industries. This study offers policy suggestions for industrial energy conservation in underdeveloped regions. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Energy policy; Grey system theory; Industrial energy conservation; Underdeveloped regions
语种	英语
来源期刊	Energy policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/124773
作者单位	School of Energy Science and Engineering, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan 410083, China; Ordos Institute of Technology, Ordos, Inner Mongolia 017000, China; Shanghai University of Engineering Science, Shanghai, 201620, China; School of Materials Science and Engineering, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan 410083, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Guo H.,Deng S.,Yang J.,et al. Analysis and prediction of industrial energy conservation in underdeveloped regions of China using a data pre-processing grey model[J],2020,139.
APA	Guo H.,Deng S.,Yang J.,Liu J.,&Nie C..(2020).Analysis and prediction of industrial energy conservation in underdeveloped regions of China using a data pre-processing grey model.Energy policy,139.
MLA	Guo H.,et al."Analysis and prediction of industrial energy conservation in underdeveloped regions of China using a data pre-processing grey model".Energy policy 139(2020).