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DOI10.1038/s41558-018-0358-8
Agricultural non-CO2 emission reduction potential in the context of the 1.5 °C target
Frank S.; Havlík P.; Stehfest E.; van Meijl H.; Witzke P.; Pérez-Domínguez I.; van Dijk M.; Doelman J.C.; Fellmann T.; Koopman J.F.L.; Tabeau A.; Valin H.
发表日期2019
ISSN1758678X
卷号9期号:1
英文摘要Agricultural methane and nitrous oxide emissions represent around 10–12% of total anthropogenic GHG emissions and have a key role to play in achieving a 1.5 °C (above pre-industrial) climate stabilization target. Using a multi-model assessment approach, we quantify the potential contribution of agriculture to the 1.5 °C target and decompose the mitigation potential by emission source, region and mitigation mechanism. The results show that the livestock sector will be vital to achieve emission reductions consistent with the 1.5 °C target mainly through emission-reducing technologies or structural changes. Agriculture may contribute emission reductions of 0.8–1.4 Gt of CO2-equivalent (CO2e) yr−1 at just US$20 per tCO2e in 2050. Combined with dietary changes, emission reductions can be increased to 1.7–1.8 GtCO2e yr−1. At carbon prices compatible with the 1.5 °C target, agriculture could even provide average emission savings of 3.9 GtCO2e yr−1 in 2050, which represents around 8% of current GHG emissions. © 2018, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种英语
来源期刊Nature Climate Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/124472
作者单位International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria; PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, Netherlands; Wageningen Economic Research, The Hague, Netherlands; University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany; European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Seville, Spain
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Frank S.,Havlík P.,Stehfest E.,et al. Agricultural non-CO2 emission reduction potential in the context of the 1.5 °C target[J],2019,9(1).
APA Frank S..,Havlík P..,Stehfest E..,van Meijl H..,Witzke P..,...&Valin H..(2019).Agricultural non-CO2 emission reduction potential in the context of the 1.5 °C target.Nature Climate Change,9(1).
MLA Frank S.,et al."Agricultural non-CO2 emission reduction potential in the context of the 1.5 °C target".Nature Climate Change 9.1(2019).
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