气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): An emerging tropical cyclone

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41558-019-0525-6
	An emerging tropical cyclone–deadly heat compound hazard
	Matthews T.; Wilby R.L.; Murphy C.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	1758678X
卷号	9 期号:8
英文摘要	Climate change may bring new hazards through novel combinations of extreme weather (compound events)1. Here we evaluate the possibility of dangerous heat following major tropical cyclones (TCs)—a combination with serious potential consequences given that mega-blackouts may follow powerful TCs2, and the heavy reliance on air conditioning3. We show that ‘TC–heat’ events are already possible along densely populated coastlines globally but, to date, only an estimated 1,000 people have been impacted. However, this number could rise markedly with over two million at risk under a storyline of the observed TCs recurring in a world 2 °C warmer than pre-industrial times. Using analogues as focusing events we show, for example, that if the catastrophic 1991 Bangladesh cyclone occurred with 2 °C global warming, there would be >70% chance of subsequent dangerous heat. This research highlights a gap in adaptation planning and a need to prepare for an emerging TC–heat compound hazard. © 2019, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/124369
作者单位	Department of Geography and Environment, Loughborough University, Loughborough, United Kingdom; Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, Department of Geography, Maynooth University, Maynooth, Ireland
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Matthews T.,Wilby R.L.,Murphy C.. An emerging tropical cyclone–deadly heat compound hazard[J],2019,9(8).
APA	Matthews T.,Wilby R.L.,&Murphy C..(2019).An emerging tropical cyclone–deadly heat compound hazard.Nature Climate Change,9(8).
MLA	Matthews T.,et al."An emerging tropical cyclone–deadly heat compound hazard".Nature Climate Change 9.8(2019).