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DOI10.1038/s41558-019-0608-4
Sea-level-rise-induced threats depend on the size of tide-influenced estuaries worldwide
Leuven J.R.F.W.; Pierik H.J.; van der Vegt M.; Bouma T.J.; Kleinhans M.G.
发表日期2019
ISSN1758678X
卷号9期号:12
英文摘要The effects of sea-level rise on the future morphological functioning of estuaries are largely unknown because tidal amplitudes will change due to combined deepening of the estuary mouth and shifting amphidromic points at sea. Fluvial sediment supply is also globally decreasing, which hampers infilling necessary to maintain elevation relative to sea level. Here we model 36 estuaries worldwide with varying sizes, shapes and hydrodynamic characteristics, and find that small shallow estuaries and large deep estuaries respond in opposite ways to sea-level rise. Large estuaries are threatened by sediment starvation and therefore loss of intertidal area, particularly if tidal amplitude decreases at the mouth. In contrast, small estuaries face enhanced flood risks and are more sensitive to tidal amplification on sea-level-rise-induced deepening. Estuary widening can partly mitigate adverse effects. In large estuaries, expanded intertidal areas increase tidal prism and available erodible sediment for adaptation, whereas it slightly reduces tidal amplification in small estuaries. © 2019, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种英语
scopus关键词amplitude; estuarine environment; estuary; flooding; hydrodynamics; sea level change; starvation; tidal cycle
来源期刊Nature Climate Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/124280
作者单位Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands; Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Yerseke, Netherlands
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GB/T 7714
Leuven J.R.F.W.,Pierik H.J.,van der Vegt M.,et al. Sea-level-rise-induced threats depend on the size of tide-influenced estuaries worldwide[J],2019,9(12).
APA Leuven J.R.F.W.,Pierik H.J.,van der Vegt M.,Bouma T.J.,&Kleinhans M.G..(2019).Sea-level-rise-induced threats depend on the size of tide-influenced estuaries worldwide.Nature Climate Change,9(12).
MLA Leuven J.R.F.W.,et al."Sea-level-rise-induced threats depend on the size of tide-influenced estuaries worldwide".Nature Climate Change 9.12(2019).
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