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DOI | 10.1038/s41558-019-0676-5 |
More green and less blue water in the Alps during warmer summers | |
Mastrotheodoros T.; Pappas C.; Molnar P.; Burlando P.; Manoli G.; Parajka J.; Rigon R.; Szeles B.; Bottazzi M.; Hadjidoukas P.; Fatichi S. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 1758678X |
卷号 | 10期号:2 |
英文摘要 | Climate change can reduce surface-water supply by enhancing evapotranspiration in forested mountains, especially during heatwaves. We investigate this ‘drought paradox’ for the European Alps using a 1,212-station database and hyper-resolution ecohydrological simulations to quantify blue (runoff) and green (evapotranspiration) water fluxes. During the 2003 heatwave, evapotranspiration in large areas over the Alps was above average despite low precipitation, amplifying the runoff deficit by 32% in the most runoff-productive areas (1,300–3,000 m above sea level). A 3 °C air temperature increase could enhance annual evapotranspiration by up to 100 mm (45 mm on average), which would reduce annual runoff at a rate similar to a 3% precipitation decrease. This suggests that green-water feedbacks—which are often poorly represented in large-scale model simulations—pose an additional threat to water resources, especially in dry summers. Despite uncertainty in the validation of the hyper-resolution ecohydrological modelling with observations, this approach permits more realistic predictions of mountain region water availability. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited. |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | air temperature; climate change; ecohydrology; evapotranspiration; heat wave; mountain region; precipitation (climatology); runoff; summer; water flux; Alps |
来源期刊 | Nature Climate Change |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/124229 |
作者单位 | ETH Zurich, Institute of Environmental Engineering, Zurich, Switzerland; Département de géographie and Centre d’études nordiques, Université de Montréal, Montréal, QC, Canada; Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering, University College London, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Water Resource Systems, Vienna University of Technology, Vienna, Austria; Department of Civil, Environmental and Mechanical Engineering, DICAM, University of Trento, Trento, Italy; IBM, Zurich Research Laboratory, Zurich, Switzerland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mastrotheodoros T.,Pappas C.,Molnar P.,et al. More green and less blue water in the Alps during warmer summers[J],2020,10(2). |
APA | Mastrotheodoros T..,Pappas C..,Molnar P..,Burlando P..,Manoli G..,...&Fatichi S..(2020).More green and less blue water in the Alps during warmer summers.Nature Climate Change,10(2). |
MLA | Mastrotheodoros T.,et al."More green and less blue water in the Alps during warmer summers".Nature Climate Change 10.2(2020). |
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