气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Flash droughts present a new challenge for subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction

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DOI	10.1038/s41558-020-0709-0
	Flash droughts present a new challenge for subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction
	Pendergrass A.G.; Meehl G.A.; Pulwarty R.; Hobbins M.; Hoell A.; AghaKouchak A.; Bonfils C.J.W.; Gallant A.J.E.; Hoerling M.; Hoffmann D.; Kaatz L.; Lehner F.; Llewellyn D.; Mote P.; Neale R.B.; Overpeck J.T.; Sheffield A.; Stahl K.; Svoboda M.; Wheeler M.C.; Wood A.W.; Woodhouse C.A.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	1758678X
卷号	10 期号:3
英文摘要	Flash droughts are a recently recognized type of extreme event distinguished by sudden onset and rapid intensification of drought conditions with severe impacts. They unfold on subseasonal-to-seasonal timescales (weeks to months), presenting a new challenge for the surge of interest in improving subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction. Here we discuss existing prediction capability for flash droughts and what is needed to establish their predictability. We place them in the context of synoptic to centennial phenomena, consider how they could be incorporated into early warning systems and risk management, and propose two definitions. The growing awareness that flash droughts involve particular processes and severe impacts, and probably a climate change dimension, makes them a compelling frontier for research, monitoring and prediction. © 2020, This is a U.S. government work and not under copyright protection in the U.S.; foreign copyright protection may apply.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	climate change; drought; early warning system; extreme event; seasonal variation
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/124197
作者单位	National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States; NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO, United States; Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, and Department of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA, United States; Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States; School of Earth, Atmosphere and Environment, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia; Denver Water, Denver, CO, United States; US Department of Interior, Bureau of Reclamation, Albuquerque, NM, United States; Oregon Climate Change Research Institute, and Graduate School, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States; School for Environment and Sustainability,...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Pendergrass A.G.,Meehl G.A.,Pulwarty R.,et al. Flash droughts present a new challenge for subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction[J],2020,10(3).
APA	Pendergrass A.G..,Meehl G.A..,Pulwarty R..,Hobbins M..,Hoell A..,...&Woodhouse C.A..(2020).Flash droughts present a new challenge for subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction.Nature Climate Change,10(3).
MLA	Pendergrass A.G.,et al."Flash droughts present a new challenge for subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction".Nature Climate Change 10.3(2020).