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DOI | 10.1111/ele.12877 |
Recurrent sublethal warming reduces embryonic survival, inhibits juvenile growth, and alters species distribution projections under climate change | |
Carlo M.A.; Riddell E.A.; Levy O.; Sears M.W. | |
发表日期 | 2018 |
ISSN | 1461023X |
卷号 | 21期号:1 |
英文摘要 | The capacity to tolerate climate change often varies across ontogeny in organisms with complex life cycles. Recently developed species distribution models incorporate traits across life stages; however, these life-cycle models primarily evaluate effects of lethal change. Here, we examine impacts of recurrent sublethal warming on development and survival in ecological projections of climate change. We reared lizard embryos in the laboratory under temperature cycles that simulated contemporary conditions and warming scenarios. We also artificially warmed natural nests to mimic laboratory treatments. In both cases, recurrent sublethal warming decreased embryonic survival and hatchling sizes. Incorporating survivorship results into a mechanistic species distribution model reduced annual survival by up to 24% compared to models that did not incorporate sublethal warming. Contrary to models without sublethal effects, our model suggests that modest increases in developmental temperatures influence species ranges due to effects on survivorship. © 2017 John Wiley & Sons Ltd/CNRS |
英文关键词 | Climate change; distribution; embryo; growth; ontogeny; sublethal; survival; temperature |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Squamata; animal; climate change; ecology; life cycle stage; lizard; temperature; Animals; Climate Change; Ecology; Life Cycle Stages; Lizards; Temperature |
来源期刊 | Ecology Letters
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/121371 |
作者单位 | Department of Biological Sciences, Clemson University, Clemson, SC 29634, United States; School of Life Sciences, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Carlo M.A.,Riddell E.A.,Levy O.,et al. Recurrent sublethal warming reduces embryonic survival, inhibits juvenile growth, and alters species distribution projections under climate change[J],2018,21(1). |
APA | Carlo M.A.,Riddell E.A.,Levy O.,&Sears M.W..(2018).Recurrent sublethal warming reduces embryonic survival, inhibits juvenile growth, and alters species distribution projections under climate change.Ecology Letters,21(1). |
MLA | Carlo M.A.,et al."Recurrent sublethal warming reduces embryonic survival, inhibits juvenile growth, and alters species distribution projections under climate change".Ecology Letters 21.1(2018). |
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