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DOI10.1111/ele.12904
Pathogen spillover during land conversion
Faust C.L.; McCallum H.I.; Bloomfield L.S.P.; Gottdenker N.L.; Gillespie T.R.; Torney C.J.; Dobson A.P.; Plowright R.K.
发表日期2018
ISSN1461023X
卷号21期号:4
英文摘要Pathogen spillover from wildlife to domestic animals and humans, and the reverse, has caused significant epidemics and pandemics worldwide. Although pathogen emergence has been linked to anthropogenic land conversion, a general framework to disentangle underlying processes is lacking. We develop a multi-host model for pathogen transmission between species inhabiting intact and converted habitat. Interspecies contacts and host populations vary with the proportion of land converted; enabling us to quantify infection risk across a changing landscape. In a range of scenarios, the highest spillover risk occurs at intermediate levels of habitat loss, whereas the largest, but rarest, epidemics occur at extremes of land conversion. This framework provides insights into the mechanisms driving disease emergence and spillover during land conversion. The finding that the risk of spillover is highest at intermediate levels of habitat loss provides important guidance for conservation and public health policy. © 2018 John Wiley & Sons Ltd/CNRS
英文关键词emerging infectious diseases; interspecies transmission; land use and land cover change
语种英语
scopus关键词Animalia; animal; ecosystem; human; wild animal; Animals; Animals, Wild; Ecosystem; Humans
来源期刊Ecology Letters
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/121337
作者单位Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Montana State University, Montana, MT, United States; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, Universtiy of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom; Environmental Futures Research Institute and Griffith School of Environment, Griffith University, Griffith, QLD, Australia; Emmett Interdisciplinary Program in Environment and Resources, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States; Department of Veterinary Pathology, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, United States; Department of Environmental Sciences, Department of Environmental Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Program In Population, Biology, Ecology and Evolution, Emory University, Athens, GA, United States; School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom
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GB/T 7714
Faust C.L.,McCallum H.I.,Bloomfield L.S.P.,et al. Pathogen spillover during land conversion[J],2018,21(4).
APA Faust C.L..,McCallum H.I..,Bloomfield L.S.P..,Gottdenker N.L..,Gillespie T.R..,...&Plowright R.K..(2018).Pathogen spillover during land conversion.Ecology Letters,21(4).
MLA Faust C.L.,et al."Pathogen spillover during land conversion".Ecology Letters 21.4(2018).
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