气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Evaluating the predicted extinction risk of living amphibian species with the fossil record

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DOI	10.1111/ele.13080
	Evaluating the predicted extinction risk of living amphibian species with the fossil record
	Tietje M.; Rödel M.-O.
发表日期	2018
ISSN	1461023X
卷号	21 期号:8
英文摘要	Bridging the gap between the fossil record and conservation biology has recently become of great interest. The enormous number of documented extinctions across different taxa can provide insights into the extinction risk of living species. However, few studies have explored this connection. We used generalised boosted modelling to analyse the impact of several traits that are assumed to influence extinction risk on the stratigraphic duration of amphibian species in the fossil record. We used this fossil-calibrated model to predict the extinction risk for living species. We observed a high consensus between our predicted species durations and the current IUCN Red List status of living amphibian species. We also found that today's Data Deficient species are mainly predicted to experience short durations, hinting at their likely high threat status. Our study suggests that the fossil record can be a suitable tool for the evaluation of current taxa-specific Red Listing status. © 2018 The Authors. Ecology Letters published by CNRS and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
英文关键词	Amphibians; conservation; Data Deficient; extinction risk; fossil record; prediction; traits
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Amphibia; Amphibia; animal; environmental protection; fossil; species extinction; Amphibians; Animals; Conservation of Natural Resources; Extinction, Biological; Fossils
来源期刊	Ecology Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/121273
作者单位	Museum für Naturkunde - Leibniz Institute for Evolution and Biodiversity Science, Invalidenstr. 43, Berlin, 10115, Germany; Berlin-Brandenburg Institute of Advanced Biodiversity Research (BBIB), Berlin, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Tietje M.,Rödel M.-O.. Evaluating the predicted extinction risk of living amphibian species with the fossil record[J],2018,21(8).
APA	Tietje M.,&Rödel M.-O..(2018).Evaluating the predicted extinction risk of living amphibian species with the fossil record.Ecology Letters,21(8).
MLA	Tietje M.,et al."Evaluating the predicted extinction risk of living amphibian species with the fossil record".Ecology Letters 21.8(2018).