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DOI10.1111/ele.13335
Thermal biology of mosquito-borne disease
Mordecai E.A.; Caldwell J.M.; Grossman M.K.; Lippi C.A.; Johnson L.R.; Neira M.; Rohr J.R.; Ryan S.J.; Savage V.; Shocket M.S.; Sippy R.; Stewart Ibarra A.M.; Thomas M.B.; Villena O.
发表日期2019
ISSN1461023X
卷号22期号:10
英文摘要Mosquito-borne diseases cause a major burden of disease worldwide. The vital rates of these ectothermic vectors and parasites respond strongly and nonlinearly to temperature and therefore to climate change. Here, we review how trait-based approaches can synthesise and mechanistically predict the temperature dependence of transmission across vectors, pathogens, and environments. We present 11 pathogens transmitted by 15 different mosquito species – including globally important diseases like malaria, dengue, and Zika – synthesised from previously published studies. Transmission varied strongly and unimodally with temperature, peaking at 23–29ºC and declining to zero below 9–23ºC and above 32–38ºC. Different traits restricted transmission at low versus high temperatures, and temperature effects on transmission varied by both mosquito and parasite species. Temperate pathogens exhibit broader thermal ranges and cooler thermal minima and optima than tropical pathogens. Among tropical pathogens, malaria and Ross River virus had lower thermal optima (25–26ºC) while dengue and Zika viruses had the highest (29ºC) thermal optima. We expect warming to increase transmission below thermal optima but decrease transmission above optima. Key directions for future work include linking mechanistic models to field transmission, combining temperature effects with control measures, incorporating trait variation and temperature variation, and investigating climate adaptation and migration. © 2019 The Authors Ecology Letters published by CNRS and John Wiley & Sons Ltd
英文关键词Arbovirus; climate change; dengue virus; malaria; mosquito; Ross River virus; temperature; thermal performance curve; West Nile virus; Zika virus
语种英语
scopus关键词climate change; dengue fever; disease transmission; disease vector; parasite; pathogen; performance assessment; temperature; West Nile virus; Zika virus disease; Arbovirus; Ross River virus; West Nile virus; Zika virus; Aedes; animal; climate change; Dengue virus; malaria; mosquito vector; parasitology; Plasmodium; Ross River virus; temperature; virology; virus infection; Zika virus; Aedes; Animals; Climate Change; Dengue Virus; Malaria; Mosquito Vectors; Plasmodium; Ross River virus; Temperature; Virus Diseases; Zika Virus
来源期刊Ecology Letters
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/121049
作者单位Department of Biology, Stanford University, 371 Serra Mall, Stanford, CA, United States; Department of Entomology and Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Penn State University, University Park, PA 16802, United States; Department of Geography and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States; Department of Statistics, Virginia Polytechnic and State University, 250 Drillfield Drive, Blacksburg, VA, United States; Center for Research on Health in Latin America (CISeAL), Pontificia Universidad Católica del Ecuador, Quito, Ecuador; Department of Biological Sciences, Eck Institute of Global Health, Environmental Change Initiative, University of Notre Dame, Notre DameIN, United States; School of Life Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and Department of Biomathematics, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, United States; Santa Fe Institute, 1399 Hyde Park Rd, Santa Fe, NM 8...
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Mordecai E.A.,Caldwell J.M.,Grossman M.K.,et al. Thermal biology of mosquito-borne disease[J],2019,22(10).
APA Mordecai E.A..,Caldwell J.M..,Grossman M.K..,Lippi C.A..,Johnson L.R..,...&Villena O..(2019).Thermal biology of mosquito-borne disease.Ecology Letters,22(10).
MLA Mordecai E.A.,et al."Thermal biology of mosquito-borne disease".Ecology Letters 22.10(2019).
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