气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Niche shift can impair the ability to predict invasion risk in the marine realm: An illustration using Mediterranean fish invaders

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DOI	10.1111/ele.12401
	Niche shift can impair the ability to predict invasion risk in the marine realm: An illustration using Mediterranean fish invaders
	Parravicini V.; Azzurro E.; Kulbicki M.; Belmaker J.
发表日期	2015
ISSN	1461-023X
EISSN	1461-0248
卷号	18 期号:3
英文摘要	Climatic niche conservatism, the tendency of species-climate associations to remain unchanged across space and time, is pivotal for forecasting the spread of invasive species and biodiversity changes. Indeed, it represents one of the key assumptions underlying species distribution models (SDMs), the main tool currently available for predicting range shifts of species. However, to date, no comprehensive assessment of niche conservatism is available for the marine realm. We use the invasion by Indo-Pacific tropical fishes into the Mediterranean Sea, the world's most invaded marine basin, to examine the conservatism of the climatic niche. We show that tropical invaders may spread far beyond their native niches and that SDMs do not predict their new distributions better than null models. Our results suggest that SDMs may underestimate the potential spread of invasive species and call for prudence in employing these models in order to forecast species invasion and their response to environmental change. © 2015 John Wiley & Sons Ltd/CNRS.
英文关键词	Biological invasion; Niche conservatism; Niche expansion; Niche shift; Species distribution models
学科领域	Pisces; animal; biodiversity; biological model; climate; environmental aspects and related phenomena; fish; introduced species; Mediterranean Sea; population dynamics; risk; species difference; Animals; Biodiversity; Climate; Ecological and Environmental Processes; Fishes; Introduced Species; Mediterranean Sea; Models, Biological; Population Dynamics; Risk; Species Specificity
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Pisces; animal; biodiversity; biological model; climate; environmental aspects and related phenomena; fish; introduced species; Mediterranean Sea; population dynamics; risk; species difference; Animals; Biodiversity; Climate; Ecological and Environmental Processes; Fishes; Introduced Species; Mediterranean Sea; Models, Biological; Population Dynamics; Risk; Species Specificity
来源期刊	Ecology Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/118696
作者单位	CRIOBE, USR 3278 CNRS-EPHE-UPVD, LABEX 'CORAIL', University of Perpignan, Perpignan, 66860, France; IRD - UR 227 CoReUs, LABEX 'CORAIL', Laboratoire Arago, BP 44, Banyuls/mer, 66651, France; CESAB-FRB, Immeuble Henri Poincaré, Domaine du Petit Arbois, Avenue Louis Philibert, Aix-en-Provence Cedex 3, 13857, France; ISPRA, Institute for Environmental Protection and Research, Sts Livorno, Piazzale dei Marmi 2, Livorno, 57123, Italy; Department of Zoology, George S. Wise Faculty of Life Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, 69978, Israel
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Parravicini V.,Azzurro E.,Kulbicki M.,et al. Niche shift can impair the ability to predict invasion risk in the marine realm: An illustration using Mediterranean fish invaders[J],2015,18(3).
APA	Parravicini V.,Azzurro E.,Kulbicki M.,&Belmaker J..(2015).Niche shift can impair the ability to predict invasion risk in the marine realm: An illustration using Mediterranean fish invaders.Ecology Letters,18(3).
MLA	Parravicini V.,et al."Niche shift can impair the ability to predict invasion risk in the marine realm: An illustration using Mediterranean fish invaders".Ecology Letters 18.3(2015).