气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Ontogeny constrains phenology: Opportunities for activity and reproduction interact to dictate potential phenologies in a changing climate

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DOI	10.1111/ele.12595
	Ontogeny constrains phenology: Opportunities for activity and reproduction interact to dictate potential phenologies in a changing climate
	Levy O.; Buckley L.B.; Keitt T.H.; Angilletta M.J.
发表日期	2016
ISSN	1461-023X
EISSN	1461-0248
卷号	19 期号:6
英文摘要	As global warming has lengthened the active seasons of many species, we need a framework for predicting how advances in phenology shape the life history and the resulting fitness of organisms. Using an individual-based model, we show how warming differently affects annual cycles of development, growth, reproduction and activity in a group of North American lizards. Populations in cold regions can grow and reproduce more when warming lengthens their active season. However, future warming of currently warm regions advances the reproductive season but reduces the survival of embryos and juveniles. Hence, stressful temperatures during summer can offset predicted gains from extended growth seasons and select for lizards that reproduce after the warm summer months. Understanding these cascading effects of climate change may be crucial to predict shifts in the life history and demography of species. © 2016 John Wiley & Sons Ltd/CNRS.
英文关键词	Biophysical model; Climate change; Embryos; Hatchlings; Heat events; Individual-based model; Life cycle; Lizards; Phenology
学科领域	Squamata; animal; biological model; embryo development; greenhouse effect; life cycle stage; lizard; North America; physiology; population dynamics; population growth; reproduction; season; temperature; Animals; Embryonic Development; Global Warming; Life Cycle Stages; Lizards; Models, Biological; North America; Population Dynamics; Population Growth; Reproduction; Seasons; Temperature
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Squamata; animal; biological model; embryo development; greenhouse effect; life cycle stage; lizard; North America; physiology; population dynamics; population growth; reproduction; season; temperature; Animals; Embryonic Development; Global Warming; Life Cycle Stages; Lizards; Models, Biological; North America; Population Dynamics; Population Growth; Reproduction; Seasons; Temperature
来源期刊	Ecology Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/118547
作者单位	School of Life Sciences, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287, United States; Department of Biology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, United States; Section of Integrative Biology, University of Texas, Austin, TX 78712, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Levy O.,Buckley L.B.,Keitt T.H.,et al. Ontogeny constrains phenology: Opportunities for activity and reproduction interact to dictate potential phenologies in a changing climate[J],2016,19(6).
APA	Levy O.,Buckley L.B.,Keitt T.H.,&Angilletta M.J..(2016).Ontogeny constrains phenology: Opportunities for activity and reproduction interact to dictate potential phenologies in a changing climate.Ecology Letters,19(6).
MLA	Levy O.,et al."Ontogeny constrains phenology: Opportunities for activity and reproduction interact to dictate potential phenologies in a changing climate".Ecology Letters 19.6(2016).