气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Effect of historical land-use and climate change on tree-climate relationships in the upper Midwestern United States

CCPortal

DOI	10.1111/ele.12747
	Effect of historical land-use and climate change on tree-climate relationships in the upper Midwestern United States
	Goring S.J.; Williams J.W.
发表日期	2017
ISSN	1461-023X
EISSN	1461-0248
卷号	20 期号:4
英文摘要	Contemporary forest inventory data are widely used to understand environmental controls on tree species distributions and to construct models to project forest responses to climate change, but the stability and representativeness of contemporary tree-climate relationships are poorly understood. We show that tree-climate relationships for 15 tree genera in the upper Midwestern US have significantly altered over the last two centuries due to historical land-use and climate change. Realised niches have shifted towards higher minimum temperatures and higher rainfall. A new attribution method implicates both historical climate change and land-use in these shifts, with the relative importance varying among genera and climate variables. Most climate/land-use interactions are compounding, in which historical land-use reinforces shifts in species-climate relationships toward wetter distributions, or confounding, in which land-use complicates shifts towards warmer distributions. Compounding interactions imply that contemporary-based models of species distributions may underestimate species resilience to climate change. © 2017 John Wiley & Sons Ltd/CNRS
英文关键词	Anthropocene; climate change; climate disequilibrium; forest inventory and analysis (FIA); fundamental niche; historical ecology; land-use; niche shift; Public Land Survey System; realised niche
学科领域	rain; agriculture; biological model; climate change; ecosystem; forestry; physiology; plant dispersal; temperature; tree; United States; Agriculture; Climate Change; Ecosystem; Forestry; Midwestern United States; Models, Biological; Plant Dispersal; Rain; Temperature; Trees
语种	英语
scopus关键词	rain; agriculture; biological model; climate change; ecosystem; forestry; physiology; plant dispersal; temperature; tree; United States; Agriculture; Climate Change; Ecosystem; Forestry; Midwestern United States; Models, Biological; Plant Dispersal; Rain; Temperature; Trees
来源期刊	Ecology Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/118406
作者单位	Department of Geography University of Wisconsin, Madison, 550 N Park St, Madison, WI 53706, United States; Center for Climatic Research University of Wisconsin, Madison, 1225 W Dayton St., Madison, WI 53706, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Goring S.J.,Williams J.W.. Effect of historical land-use and climate change on tree-climate relationships in the upper Midwestern United States[J],2017,20(4).
APA	Goring S.J.,&Williams J.W..(2017).Effect of historical land-use and climate change on tree-climate relationships in the upper Midwestern United States.Ecology Letters,20(4).
MLA	Goring S.J.,et al."Effect of historical land-use and climate change on tree-climate relationships in the upper Midwestern United States".Ecology Letters 20.4(2017).