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DOI10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111334
Road to zero or road to nowhere? Disrupting transport and energy in a zero carbon world
Brand C.; Anable J.; Ketsopoulou I.; Watson J.
发表日期2020
ISSN0301-4215
卷号139
英文摘要The phasing out of conventional fossil fuel road vehicles is one of a number of potentially disruptive transport and energy policies. The implied technical substitution alone may be too slow to contribute meaningfully to meeting ‘net zero’ carbon reduction targets. This paper uses established modelling techniques and prospective scenario analyses in a UK case study to investigate what the impacts might be if we were more ambitious, how much disruption is needed to meet climate goals, the role of lifestyle and social change, and the potential implications for key actors in transport energy systems. Existing policies may neither hit carbon reduction targets nor make the early gains needed for a Paris-compliant trajectory. Deeper and earlier reductions in carbon and air quality emissions can be achieved by more ambitious but largely non-disruptive change of a 2030 phase out that includes (plug-in) hybrids. The earlier phase outs combined with lower demand for mobility and car ownership would make significant contributions to an emissions pathway that is both Paris compliant and meets urban air quality goals. Some disruption for technology providers, business and government can be expected in the more ambitious cases. The paper concludes by discussing key policy implications and recommendations. © 2020 The Authors
英文关键词Cars; Decarbonising transport; Disruption; Lifestyle change; Net zero; Vans
学科领域Air quality; Carbon; Climate change; Fossil fuels; Public policy; Railroad cars; Roads and streets; Trucks; Decarbonising; Disruption; Lifestyle change; Net zero; Vans; Road vehicles; automobile; carbon emission; emission control; energy efficiency; energy policy; environmental economics; lifestyle; scenario analysis; social change; transportation; United Kingdom
语种英语
scopus关键词Air quality; Carbon; Climate change; Fossil fuels; Public policy; Railroad cars; Roads and streets; Trucks; Decarbonising; Disruption; Lifestyle change; Net zero; Vans; Road vehicles; automobile; carbon emission; emission control; energy efficiency; energy policy; environmental economics; lifestyle; scenario analysis; social change; transportation; United Kingdom
来源期刊Energy Policy
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/118054
作者单位University of Oxford and UK Energy Research Centre, South Parks Road, Oxford, OX1 3QY, United Kingdom; Institute for Transport Studies, University of Leeds and UK Energy Research Centre, 34-40 University Road, Leeds, LS2 9JT, United Kingdom; University College London and UK Energy Research Centre, Central House, 14 Upper Woburn Place, London, WC1H 0NN, United Kingdom
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Brand C.,Anable J.,Ketsopoulou I.,et al. Road to zero or road to nowhere? Disrupting transport and energy in a zero carbon world[J],2020,139.
APA Brand C.,Anable J.,Ketsopoulou I.,&Watson J..(2020).Road to zero or road to nowhere? Disrupting transport and energy in a zero carbon world.Energy Policy,139.
MLA Brand C.,et al."Road to zero or road to nowhere? Disrupting transport and energy in a zero carbon world".Energy Policy 139(2020).
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