气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The role of nuclear in China's energy future: Insights from integrated assessment

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111344
	The role of nuclear in China's energy future: Insights from integrated assessment
	Yu S.; Yarlagadda B.; Siegel J.E.; Zhou S.; Kim S.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0301-4215
卷号	139
英文摘要	China, the world's largest electricity consumer, has strong motivations to deploy nuclear power due to increasing electricity demand and environmental concerns. However, there are social, institutional, and technical barriers to future nuclear expansion. This paper provides an updated assessment of nuclear energy potential in China with analyses at both national and provincial levels and compares results with previous studies. It integrates unit-level information into integrated assessment modelling and scenarios and considers the interactions among different socioeconomic pathways, technology options, climate policies, and social/political concerns on inland siting. Among all factors explored, climate policies have the most significant impact on accelerating nuclear technology deployment. Inland siting of nuclear power plants increases total capacity, but the impact is limited without climate policy. The share of annual nuclear generation across scenarios/studies is unlikely to rise above 11% by 2030 and 30% by 2050 of total Chinese electricity generation. A dramatic increase in total nuclear power generation in China – around 4000 TWh of nuclear generation by 2050 – is only possible in scenarios where China sees electricity demand increase substantially, sticks to and tightens its current Paris Accord commitments, achieves low costs of nuclear technologies, and allows inland siting of nuclear power plants. © 2020
英文关键词	China; Integrated assessment; Nuclear power plants; Provincial-level analysis
语种	英语
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/118043
作者单位	Joint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, United States; Center for International and Security Studies at Maryland, University of Maryland, United States; Institute of Energy, Environment, and Economy, Tsinghua University, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Yu S.,Yarlagadda B.,Siegel J.E.,et al. The role of nuclear in China's energy future: Insights from integrated assessment[J],2020,139.
APA	Yu S.,Yarlagadda B.,Siegel J.E.,Zhou S.,&Kim S..(2020).The role of nuclear in China's energy future: Insights from integrated assessment.Energy Policy,139.
MLA	Yu S.,et al."The role of nuclear in China's energy future: Insights from integrated assessment".Energy Policy 139(2020).