气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Examination of climate risk using a modified uncertainty matrix framework-Applications in the water sector

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.11.003
	Examination of climate risk using a modified uncertainty matrix framework-Applications in the water sector
	Ekström M.; Kuruppu N.; Wilby R.L.; Fowler H.J.; Chiew F.H.S.; Dessai S.; Young W.J.
发表日期	2013
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	23 期号:1
英文摘要	Previous climate risk assessments provide important methodological insights into how to derive tractable research questions and the appropriate use of data under uncertainty, as well as identifying steps that benefit from stakeholder involvement. Here we propose the use of a framework for the systematic and objective exploration of climate risk assessments. The matrix facilitates a breakdown of information about aim and context, main results, methodological choices, stakeholder involvement, sources and characteristics of uncertainties and overall weaknesses. We then apply the matrix to three risk assessments in the water sector to explore some methodological strengths and weaknesses of approaches strongly linked to climate model outputs (top-down) versus those that originate from local knowledge of climate exposures (bottom-up), and demonstrate that closer integration with social and physical sciences is more likely to yield robust climate risk assessments. © 2012 Elsevier Ltd.
英文关键词	Adaptation; Climate change; Climate risk; Policy; Uncertainties; Water resources
学科领域	climate modeling; environmental policy; environmental risk; risk assessment; stakeholder; traditional knowledge; uncertainty analysis; water industry
语种	英语
scopus关键词	climate modeling; environmental policy; environmental risk; risk assessment; stakeholder; traditional knowledge; uncertainty analysis; water industry
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/118006
作者单位	CSIRO Land and Water, Black Mountain, PO Box 1666, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia; Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 3QY, United Kingdom; Department of Geography, Loughborough University, Loughborough, LE11 3TU, United Kingdom; School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE1 7RU, United Kingdom; Sustainability Research Institute and ESRC Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, United Kingdom; Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation and Mitigation (CC-IAM) Research Group, Faculty of Sciences, University of Lisbon, Portugal
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ekström M.,Kuruppu N.,Wilby R.L.,et al. Examination of climate risk using a modified uncertainty matrix framework-Applications in the water sector[J],2013,23(1).
APA	Ekström M..,Kuruppu N..,Wilby R.L..,Fowler H.J..,Chiew F.H.S..,...&Young W.J..(2013).Examination of climate risk using a modified uncertainty matrix framework-Applications in the water sector.Global Environmental Change,23(1).
MLA	Ekström M.,et al."Examination of climate risk using a modified uncertainty matrix framework-Applications in the water sector".Global Environmental Change 23.1(2013).