气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Estimating impacts of warming temperatures on California's electricity system

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DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.12.005
	Estimating impacts of warming temperatures on California's electricity system
	Sathaye J.A.; Dale L.L.; Larsen P.H.; Fitts G.A.; Koy K.; Lewis S.M.; de Lucena A.F.P.
发表日期	2013
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	23 期号:2
英文摘要	Despite a clear need, little research has been carried out at the regional-level to quantify potential climate-related impacts to electricity production and delivery systems. This paper introduces a bottom-up study of climate change impacts on California's energy infrastructure, including high temperature effects on power plant capacity, transmission lines, substation capacity, and peak electricity demand. End-of-century impacts were projected using the A2 and B1 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change emission scenarios. The study quantifies the effect of high ambient temperatures on electricity generation, the capacity of substations and transmission lines, and the demand for peak power for a set of climate scenarios. Based on these scenarios, atmospheric warming and associated peak demand increases would necessitate up to 38% of additional peak generation capacity and up to 31% additional transmission capacity, assuming current infrastructure. These findings, although based on a limited number of scenarios, suggest that additional funding could be put to good use by supporting R&D into next generation cooling equipment technologies, diversifying the power generation mix without compromising the system's operational flexibility, and designing effective demand side management programs. © 2012 Elsevier Ltd.
英文关键词	California; Climate change impacts; Electricity; Peak Load
学科领域	climate change; demand analysis; demand-side management; electricity generation; electricity supply; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; nature-society relations; temperature effect; warming; California; United States
语种	英语
scopus关键词	climate change; demand analysis; demand-side management; electricity generation; electricity supply; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; nature-society relations; temperature effect; warming; California; United States
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117962
作者单位	Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, 1 Cyclotron Rd. 90-4000, Berkeley, CA 94720, United States; Stanford University, School of Engineering, 475 Via Ortega, Stanford, CA 94305, United States; University of California-Berkeley, College of Natural Resources, 111 Mulford Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720-3114, United States; University of California-Berkeley, College of Natural Resources, 122 Mulford Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720-3114, United States; Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Centro de Tecnologia, Cidade Universitária 21941-972 Ilha do Fundão, Bloco C, Sala 211, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Sathaye J.A.,Dale L.L.,Larsen P.H.,et al. Estimating impacts of warming temperatures on California's electricity system[J],2013,23(2).
APA	Sathaye J.A..,Dale L.L..,Larsen P.H..,Fitts G.A..,Koy K..,...&de Lucena A.F.P..(2013).Estimating impacts of warming temperatures on California's electricity system.Global Environmental Change,23(2).
MLA	Sathaye J.A.,et al."Estimating impacts of warming temperatures on California's electricity system".Global Environmental Change 23.2(2013).